Sat 29 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Sassuolo vs Torino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sassuolo vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino

Sassuolo vs Torino finished 2-1. Sassuolo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Sassuolo face Torino in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 5, while Torino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Torino won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sassuolo win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sassuolo vs Torino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.30
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.33 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 8.8% 11.7% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2%
2 6.7% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
3 3.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Sassuolo winDrawTorino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sassuolo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Sassuolo 39%Draw 29%Torino 33%
39%29%33%
39%
Sassuolo Win
54%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Sassuolo and Torino. Wins shown from Sassuolo’s perspective: Sassuolo 1 · 1 drawn · Torino 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-29 Sassuolo 2 – 1 Torino W
2026-05-08 Torino 2 – 1 Sassuolo L
2025-12-21 Sassuolo 0 – 1 Torino L
2024-02-10 Sassuolo 1 – 1 Torino D
2023-11-06 Torino 2 – 1 Sassuolo L

📈 Recent form

Sassuolo

Sassuolo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Monza.

  • LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
  • WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
  • DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
  • DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
  • WSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A
Torino

Torino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.

  • DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
  • LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
  • WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
  • LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
  • LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sassuolo
  • D. BolocaMuscle Injury
  • F. CandeKnee Injury
  • I. KoneBroken Leg
  • Y. PazKnee Injury
  • E. PieragnoloKnee Injury
  • S. WalukiewiczMuscle Injury
Torino
  • C. BiraghiIllness
  • C. CasadeiRest
  • F. IsraelShoulder Injury
  • P. PellegriKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sassuolo at 39% to win and Torino at 33%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Sassuolo win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sassuolo Win 39% 42% @ 2.23
Torino Win 33% 30% @ 3.15
Draw 29% 29% @ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sassuolo or Draw at 1.34 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sassuolo or Draw 66% 70% @ 1.34
Torino or Draw 60% 58% @ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% 72% @ 1.30
Under 3.5 68% 74% @ 1.27
Over 2.5 54% 46% @ 2.05
Under 2.5 46% 54% @ 1.76
Over 3.5 32% 26% @ 3.65
Under 1.5 22% 28% @ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 53% @ 1.78
BTTS No 43% 47% @ 1.97

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sassuolo or Torino is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sassuolo +1.5 86% – 1.09
Torino +1.75 84% 84% 1.13
Torino +1.5 82% 78% 1.20
Sassuolo +1.25 81% 85% 1.12
Torino +1.25 76% 77% 1.24
Sassuolo +1 76% 84% 1.13
Sassuolo +0.75 71% 77% 1.25
Torino +1 71% 74% 1.28
Sassuolo +0.5 66% 70% 1.36
Torino +0.75 66% 65% 1.47
Torino +0.5 60% 58% 1.64
Sassuolo +0.25 60% 65% 1.47
Torino +0.25 54% 51% @ 1.89
Sassuolo 0 53% 59% 1.61
Torino 0 47% 41% @ 2.32
Sassuolo -0.25 46% 49% 2.00
Torino -0.25 40% 35% @ 2.75
Sassuolo -0.5 40% 42% 2.23
Sassuolo -0.75 34% 35% 2.74
Torino -0.5 34% 30% @ 3.12
Sassuolo -1 29% 26% @ 3.65
Torino -0.75 29% 23% @ 4.09
Torino -1 24% 16% @ 5.90
Sassuolo -1.25 24% 23% 4.13
Torino -1.25 19% 15% @ 6.40
Sassuolo -1.5 18% 22% 4.30
Sassuolo -1.75 16% 16% 5.90

📈 How the market moved

24%35%47%08/2408/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Sassuolo 42%Draw 29%Torino 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Torino?

Our model makes a Sassuolo win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Torino.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Torino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sassuolo and Torino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.