Sat 29 Aug5-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: AZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles finished 5-2. AZ Alkmaar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

AZ Alkmaar face Go Ahead Eagles in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: AZ Alkmaar have 3 wins from their last 5, while Go Ahead Eagles have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.37

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.97 – 1.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
1	7.6%	9.8%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.6%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.9%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
4	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

AZ Alkmaar winDrawGo Ahead Eagles win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

AZ Alkmaar 54%Draw 25%Go Ahead Eagles 21%

54%25%21%

54%

AZ Alkmaar Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles. Wins shown from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective: AZ Alkmaar 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	AZ Alkmaar	5 – 2	Go Ahead Eagles	W
2026-04-23	Go Ahead Eagles	0 – 0	AZ Alkmaar	D
2025-12-07	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 2	Go Ahead Eagles	D
2025-05-04	Go Ahead Eagles	0 – 3	AZ Alkmaar	W
2024-10-27	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 2	Go Ahead Eagles	D

📈 Recent form

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Go Ahead Eagles. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sunderland.

WAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
LSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to ADO Den Haag. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at AZ Alkmaar.

DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
WGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AZ Alkmaar

D. KasiusGroin Injury
S. ResinkKnee Injury
M. SinNot in squad

Go Ahead Eagles

G. NauberBroken Leg
P. SaathofKnee Injury
R. WeijenbergKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AZ Alkmaar at 54% to win and Go Ahead Eagles at 21%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar Win	54%	67%	@ 1.40
Draw	25%	19%	@ 4.90
Go Ahead Eagles Win	21%	14%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.10 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar or Draw	78%	86%	@ 1.10
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw	45%	33%	@ 2.85

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	63%	69%	@ 1.37
Under 3.5	59%	52%	@ 1.81
Over 3.5	41%	48%	@ 1.96
Under 2.5	37%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	16%	14%	@ 6.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	60%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	38%	40%	@ 2.33

📈 How the market moved

AZ Alkmaar 68%Draw 19%Go Ahead Eagles 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles.

What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.28 for Go Ahead Eagles. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.