Sat 29 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Lyon vs Le Havre Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lyon vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lyon 1-1 Le Havre

Lyon vs Le Havre finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Lyon face Le Havre in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Lyon have 3 wins from their last 5, while Le Havre have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lyon won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lyon vs Le Havre with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Le Havre +2 @ 1.30

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	6.1%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.0%	11.0%	6.0%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.8%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.4%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lyon winDrawLe Havre win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Le Havre with a +2 start at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Lyon 56%Draw 25%Le Havre 20%

56%25%20%

56%

Lyon Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lyon and Le Havre. Wins shown from Lyon’s perspective: Lyon 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Lyon	1 – 1	Le Havre	D
2026-03-15	Le Havre	0 – 0	Lyon	D
2025-12-14	Lyon	1 – 0	Le Havre	W
2025-03-16	Lyon	4 – 2	Le Havre	W
2024-10-20	Le Havre	0 – 4	Lyon	W

📈 Recent form

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Rennes.

WLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
WAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Toulouse.

LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lyon

J. DuranvilleMuscle Injury
R. HimbertNot in squad
N. KamaraNot in squad
R. KluivertNot in squad

Le Havre

F. MambimbiInjury
A. ToureKnee Injury
S. ZagadouInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lyon at 56% to win and Le Havre at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon Win	56%	65%	@ 1.43
Draw	25%	21%	@ 4.50
Le Havre Win	20%	14%	@ 6.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.09 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon or Draw	80%	86%	@ 1.09
Le Havre or Draw	44%	35%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	67%	65%	@ 1.45
Over 2.5	55%	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	45%	44%	@ 2.14
Over 3.5	33%	35%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	51%	@ 1.84
BTTS No	44%	49%	@ 1.88

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lyon or Le Havre is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon +0.5	80%	85%	1.12
Le Havre +2	77%	73%	@ 1.30
Lyon +0.25	74%	83%	1.14
Le Havre +1.75	73%	65%	@ 1.47
Le Havre +1.5	68%	58%	@ 1.62
Lyon 0	68%	81%	1.18
Le Havre +1.25	62%	53%	@ 1.81
Lyon -0.25	62%	72%	1.32
Lyon -0.5	56%	65%	1.44
Le Havre +1	56%	46%	@ 2.09
Lyon -0.75	50%	60%	1.59
Le Havre +0.75	50%	40%	@ 2.40
Lyon -1	44%	54%	1.75
Le Havre +0.5	44%	35%	@ 2.72
Le Havre +0.25	38%	28%	@ 3.42
Lyon -1.25	38%	47%	2.07
Le Havre 0	32%	19%	@ 5.13
Lyon -1.5	32%	42%	2.25
Lyon -1.75	27%	35%	2.75
Le Havre -0.25	26%	17%	@ 5.75
Lyon -2	23%	27%	3.56
Le Havre -0.5	20%	15%	@ 6.25

📈 How the market moved

Lyon 65%Draw 21%Le Havre 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre?

Our model's main pick is Le Havre with a +2 start at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Le Havre?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Lyon vs Le Havre.

What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Le Havre?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Lyon and 1.09 for Le Havre. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lyon and Le Havre play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.