Sat 29 Aug1-3Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Angers Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Auxerre vs Angers in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Auxerre 1-3 Angers

Auxerre vs Angers finished 1-3. Angers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Auxerre face Angers in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Auxerre have 3 wins from their last 5, while Angers have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Angers won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Auxerre vs Angers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.26

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.30 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	9.8%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
1	15.8%	12.8%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.2%	8.3%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
3	4.4%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Auxerre winDrawAngers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Auxerre vs Angers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Auxerre win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points no (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Auxerre 47%Draw 29%Angers 24%

47%29%24%

47%

Auxerre Win

65%

Under 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Auxerre and Angers. Wins shown from Auxerre’s perspective: Auxerre 2 · Angers 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Auxerre	1 – 3	Angers	L
2026-05-03	Auxerre	3 – 1	Angers	W
2025-11-09	Angers	2 – 0	Auxerre	L
2025-01-19	Angers	2 – 0	Auxerre	L
2024-11-24	Auxerre	1 – 0	Angers	W

📈 Recent form

Auxerre

Auxerre come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Brest. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Lyon.

WAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
LLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
LLens 5-2 AuxerreLigue 1

Angers

Angers come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rennes.

WAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 0-2 LilleLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Auxerre

A. DiousseKnee Injury
S. FofanaGroin Injury
C. MakossoSuspended (red card)
B. OkohKnee Injury
M. SenayaInjury
F. SierraltaInjury
Wei XiangxinNot in squad

Angers

H. BelkeblaThigh Injury
L. MoutonKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Auxerre at 47% to win and Angers at 24%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Auxerre Win	47%	49%	@ 1.89
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.40
Angers Win	24%	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Auxerre or Draw at 1.23 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Auxerre or Draw	74%	77%	@ 1.23
Angers or Draw	51%	51%	@ 1.87

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	84%	75%	@ 1.26
Under 2.5	65%	54%	@ 1.74
Over 1.5	62%	71%	@ 1.32
Under 1.5	38%	29%	@ 3.25
Over 2.5	35%	46%	@ 2.04
Over 3.5	16%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	59%	50%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	41%	50%	@ 1.85

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Auxerre or Angers is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Angers +2	82%	86%	1.10
Angers +1.75	78%	79%	1.20
Auxerre +0.75	78%	82%	1.16
Angers +1.5	75%	–	1.29
Auxerre +0.5	74%	–	1.25
Angers +1.25	69%	70%	1.35
Auxerre +0.25	68%	73%	1.31
Angers +1	63%	66%	1.44
Auxerre 0	62%	67%	1.41
Angers +0.75	57%	57%	1.67
Auxerre -0.25	55%	57%	1.68
Angers +0.5	51%	50%	1.89
Auxerre -0.5	49%	50%	1.91
Angers +0.25	45%	43%	2.23
Auxerre -0.75	43%	43%	2.25
Angers 0	38%	33%	@ 2.89
Auxerre -1	37%	34%	@ 2.83
Angers -0.25	32%	27%	@ 3.47
Auxerre -1.25	31%	30%	@ 3.21
Angers -0.75	22%	18%	@ 5.25
Auxerre -1.75	22%	21%	4.40
Auxerre -2	18%	14%	@ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

Auxerre 49%Draw 27%Angers 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Angers?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Angers?

Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for Auxerre vs Angers.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Auxerre and 0.81 for Angers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Auxerre and Angers play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.