⚽ Serie A

Juventus vs Parma Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs Parma in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Juventus face Parma in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 1 win from their last 5, while Parma have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Juventus won 2, Parma won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.6-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs Parma with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.49

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 0.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	7.1%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
1	16.5%	11.2%	3.8%	0.9%	0.1%
2	13.0%	8.9%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	6.9%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Juventus winDrawParma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs Parma is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.25 (+36.5% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.25, 61% model probability, +36.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 56%Draw 27%Parma 17%

56%27%17%

56%

Juventus Win

61%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

+36.5%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Juventus and Parma. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 2 · 1 drawn · Parma 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	Parma	1 – 4	Juventus	W
2025-08-24	Juventus	2 – 0	Parma	W
2025-04-23	Parma	1 – 0	Juventus	L
2024-10-30	Juventus	2 – 2	Parma	D

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Oeste. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Paulista.

WJuventus 5-0 OesteCopa Paulista
LPaulista 1-0 JuventusCopa Paulista
WJuventus 2-0 PalermoFriendlies Clubs
DPrimavera SP 2-2 JuventusCopa Paulista
LJuventus 1-2 InterFriendlies Clubs

Parma

Parma come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Catania. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.

LParma 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WParma 2-0 CataniaCoppa Italia
LParma 0-2 SampdoriaFriendlies Clubs
DParma 1-1 Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs
DParma 1-1 ArezzoFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 56% to win and Parma at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Parma Win	17%	@ 12.50	+113.5%
Draw	27%	@ 6.10	+66.5%
Juventus Win	56%	@ 1.21	-32.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Parma or Draw at 4.10 (42% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Parma or Draw	42%	@ 4.10	+73.3%
Juventus or Draw	81%	@ 1.03	-16.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	34%	@ 4.70	+59.9%
Under 2.5	61%	@ 2.25	+36.5%
Under 3.5	81%	@ 1.49	+20.3%
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.18	-22.1%
Over 2.5	39%	@ 1.61	-36.7%
Over 3.5	19%	@ 2.60	-49.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	61%	@ 1.58	-3.8%
BTTS Yes	39%	@ 2.28	-10.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Parma?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.25 (+36.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Parma?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.7 scoreline for Juventus vs Parma.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Parma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Juventus and 0.68 for Parma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and Parma play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.