⚽ Jupiler Pro League
OH Leuven vs Standard Liège Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: OH Leuven 1-2 Standard Liège
OH Leuven vs Standard Liège finished 1-2. Standard Liège won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
OH Leuven face Standard Liège in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: OH Leuven have 1 win from their last 5, while Standard Liège have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, OH Leuven won 1, Standard Liège won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Standard Liège win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Standard Liège win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between OH Leuven and Standard Liège. Wins shown from OH Leuven’s perspective: OH Leuven 1 · 1 drawn · Standard Liège 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | OH Leuven | 1 – 2 | Standard Liège | L |
| 2026-05-08 | Standard Liège | 2 – 1 | OH Leuven | L |
| 2026-04-04 | OH Leuven | 1 – 3 | Standard Liège | L |
| 2025-04-26 | OH Leuven | 1 – 1 | Standard Liège | D |
| 2025-04-22 | Standard Liège | 0 – 1 | OH Leuven | W |
📈 Recent form
OH Leuven come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at SK Beveren.
- WOH Leuven 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- LSK Beveren 3-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- LGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- LOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
Standard Liège come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Gent.
- LGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- LKVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- WOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices OH Leuven at 32% to win and Standard Liège at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Standard Liège win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège Win | 40% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| OH Leuven Win | 32% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Standard Liège or Draw at 1.37 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège or Draw | 67% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| OH Leuven or Draw | 59% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 56% | @ 1.63 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège?
Our model makes a Standard Liège win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège.
What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Standard Liège?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for OH Leuven and 1.40 for Standard Liège. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do OH Leuven and Standard Liège play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


