Sat 29 Aug1-3Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen finished 1-3. NEC Nijmegen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

PEC Zwolle face NEC Nijmegen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.3-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.41

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 2.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	6.9%	7.2%	5.0%	2.6%
1	4.4%	9.2%	9.5%	6.6%	3.4%
2	2.9%	6.0%	6.3%	4.4%	2.3%
3	1.3%	2.7%	2.8%	1.9%	1.0%
4	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-2

PEC Zwolle winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 22%Draw 24%NEC Nijmegen 53%

22%24%53%

53%

NEC Nijmegen Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen. Wins shown from PEC Zwolle’s perspective: 1 drawn · NEC Nijmegen 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	PEC Zwolle	1 – 3	NEC Nijmegen	L
2026-01-24	NEC Nijmegen	2 – 1	PEC Zwolle	L
2025-10-25	PEC Zwolle	2 – 2	NEC Nijmegen	D
2025-01-11	PEC Zwolle	0 – 1	NEC Nijmegen	L
2024-08-24	NEC Nijmegen	1 – 0	PEC Zwolle	L

📈 Recent form

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.

LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.

DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

PEC Zwolle

J. BurgerKnock
Y. NamliKnee Injury

NEC Nijmegen

A. KaplanKnee Injury
D. NejasmicNot in squad
S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
P. SandlerInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 22% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen Win	53%	56%	@ 1.68
Draw	24%	23%	@ 4.10
PEC Zwolle Win	22%	22%	@ 4.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.20 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	77%	78%	@ 1.20
PEC Zwolle or Draw	47%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	85%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	66%	67%	@ 1.41
Under 3.5	56%	54%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	44%	46%	@ 2.02
Under 2.5	34%	33%	@ 2.85
Under 1.5	15%	15%	@ 6.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	66%	@ 1.41
BTTS No	36%	34%	@ 2.70

📈 How the market moved

PEC Zwolle 22%Draw 22%NEC Nijmegen 57%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.32 for PEC Zwolle and 2.08 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.