⚽ Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Result: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Seattle Sounders face Chicago Fire in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have no wins from their last 5, while Chicago Fire have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.52, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 2 | Chicago Fire | D |
| 2024-06-30 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 1 | Chicago Fire | W |
📈 Recent form
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 5 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5.
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Chicago Fire come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. ArriolaCalf Injury
- J. FerreiraInjury
- X. GnaulatiInjury
- Y. Gomez AndradeMuscle Injury
- P. KingstonSuspended (cards)
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- J. RagenKnee Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- C. MuellerNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 45% to win and Chicago Fire at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 45% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 28% | 40% | @ 2.33 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.57 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 71% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 55% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 62% | @ 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.52, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Seattle Sounders and 1.27 for Chicago Fire. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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