Sat 29 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

São Paulo vs RB Bragantino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: São Paulo 2-1 RB Bragantino

São Paulo vs RB Bragantino finished 2-1. São Paulo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

São Paulo face RB Bragantino in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: São Paulo have no wins from their last 5, while RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, São Paulo won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a São Paulo win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
1	11.2%	13.0%	7.5%	2.9%	0.8%
2	7.1%	8.2%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.0%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

São Paulo winDrawRB Bragantino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a São Paulo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

São Paulo 36%Draw 33%RB Bragantino 30%

36%33%30%

36%

São Paulo Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between São Paulo and RB Bragantino. Wins shown from São Paulo’s perspective: São Paulo 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	São Paulo	2 – 1	RB Bragantino	W
2024-11-20	RB Bragantino	1 – 1	São Paulo	D
2024-07-06	São Paulo	2 – 0	RB Bragantino	W
2023-11-08	São Paulo	1 – 0	RB Bragantino	W
2023-07-09	RB Bragantino	0 – 0	São Paulo	D

📈 Recent form

São Paulo

São Paulo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Atlético Mineiro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Palmeiras.

WSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
DSão Paulo 1-1 Boca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana
LPalmeiras 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
LBoca Juniors 1-0 São PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético MineiroBrazilian Série A

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Flamengo.

LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

São Paulo

D. BobadillaNot in squad
Lucas MouraAchilles Tendon Injury
Lucca MarquesJaw injury
Victor SaNot in squad

RB Bragantino

Davi GomesKnee Injury
Eduardo SashaNot in squad
VanderlanKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices São Paulo at 36% to win and RB Bragantino at 30%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a São Paulo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
São Paulo Win	36%	42%	@ 2.23
Draw	33%	29%	@ 3.20
RB Bragantino Win	30%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is São Paulo or Draw at 1.32 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
São Paulo or Draw	66%	71%	@ 1.32
RB Bragantino or Draw	60%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	76%	@ 1.24
Over 1.5	70%	70%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	56%	55%	@ 1.70
Over 2.5	44%	45%	@ 2.12
Under 1.5	30%	30%	@ 3.10
Over 3.5	23%	24%	@ 3.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	49%	51%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

São Paulo 41%Draw 29%RB Bragantino 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino?

Our model makes a São Paulo win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs RB Bragantino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for São Paulo and 1.16 for RB Bragantino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do São Paulo and RB Bragantino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.