⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Houston Dynamo face San Jose Earthquakes in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 4 wins from their last 5, while San Jose Earthquakes have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 3, San Jose Earthquakes won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.9-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is San Jose Earthquakes with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 3 · 1 drawn · San Jose Earthquakes 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Dynamo | 0 – 0 | San Jose Earthquakes | D |
| 2024-07-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | W |
| 2024-03-31 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | W |
| 2023-06-22 | Houston Dynamo | 4 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | W |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Houston Dynamo.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Lucas HalterSuspended (cards)
- J. MaurerConcussion
- M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
- N. AdimabuaLower-Body Injury
- E. EdwardsLower-Body Injury
- D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- B. KikanovicSuspended (cards)
- T. WernerInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 59% to win and San Jose Earthquakes at 18%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 59% | 57% | @ 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 18% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.19 (82% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 82% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 40% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 56% | @ 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 64% | @ 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 37% | @ 2.48 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or San Jose Earthquakes is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 82% | – | 1.18 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 76% | 79% | 1.21 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +2 | 74% | – | 1.26 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 71% | 76% | 1.25 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.75 | 70% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 65% | 67% | 1.42 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 | 65% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 60% | 59% | 1.59 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.25 | 59% | 58% | 1.66 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 54% | 55% | 1.75 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1 | 53% | 52% | 1.82 |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 47% | 48% | 2.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.75 | 46% | 45% | 2.11 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 41% | 42% | 2.27 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 | 40% | 41% | 2.31 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 35% | 37% | 2.52 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.25 | 35% | 33% | 2.88 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.75 | 30% | 32% | 3.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0 | 29% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.75 | 15% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model's main pick is San Jose Earthquakes with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Houston Dynamo and 1.20 for San Jose Earthquakes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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