⚽ Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nice Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris FC vs Nice in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Paris FC face Nice in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Paris FC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Nice have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris FC vs Nice with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	6.6%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%
1	8.0%	11.0%	7.5%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.1%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Paris FC winDrawNice win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Nice is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Paris FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.05 (+19.6% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.05, 58% model probability, +19.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Paris FC 45%Draw 27%Nice 28%

45%27%28%

45%

Paris FC Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

+19.6%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Paris FC and Nice. Wins shown from Paris FC’s perspective: Paris FC 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-01	Paris FC	1 – 0	Nice	W
2025-09-28	Nice	1 – 1	Paris FC	D

📈 Recent form

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Reims. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Angers.

DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1
LAngers 3-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
DVfB Stuttgart 2-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
WParis FC 1-0 ReimsFriendlies Clubs
WParis FC 2-1 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1

Nice

Nice come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Nimes. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Juventus.

DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1
DHull City 0-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
LJuventus 2-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
WNice 4-0 NimesFriendlies Clubs
WNice 4-1 Saint EtienneLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris FC at 45% to win and Nice at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Paris FC Win	45%	@ 2.14	-3.3%
Nice Win	28%	@ 3.40	-6.5%
Draw	27%	@ 3.20	-12.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris FC or Draw at 1.30 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Paris FC or Draw	72%	@ 1.30	-6.8%
Nice or Draw	54%	@ 1.67	-9.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	36%	@ 3.65	+31.2%
Over 2.5	58%	@ 2.05	+19.6%
Over 1.5	80%	@ 1.35	+8.7%
Under 3.5	64%	@ 1.28	-18.0%
Under 2.5	42%	@ 1.75	-27.1%
Under 1.5	20%	@ 3.10	-39.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.77	+6.9%
BTTS No	40%	@ 1.93	-23.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Nice?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.05 (+19.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Nice?

Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Paris FC vs Nice.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Nice?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Paris FC and 1.37 for Nice. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris FC and Nice play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.