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⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Truiden Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Antwerp vs St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Antwerp face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Antwerp have 3 wins from their last 5, while St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Antwerp won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Antwerp vs St. Truiden with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Antwerp vs St. Truiden is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates an Antwerp win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.80 (+7.8% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Antwerp and St. Truiden. Wins shown from Antwerp’s perspective: Antwerp 2 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Antwerp | D |
| 2024-08-11 | Antwerp | 6 – 1 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2024-03-03 | Antwerp | 3 – 0 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2023-11-24 | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Antwerp | D |
📈 Recent form
Antwerp come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Kortrijk. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Leyton Orient.
- DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
- WKortrijk 0-3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 2-1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- LLeyton Orient 2-1 AntwerpFriendlies Clubs
- LMillwall 1-0 AntwerpFriendlies Clubs
St. Truiden come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Omonia Nicosia. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at AEK Athens FC.
- WSt. Truiden 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
- DCercle Brugge 3-3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- DSt. Truiden 1-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
- LHelmond Sport 1-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Antwerp at 44% to win and St. Truiden at 31%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp Win | 44% | @ 2.45 | +8.1% |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.50 | -13.0% |
| St. Truiden Win | 31% | @ 2.62 | -18.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Antwerp or Draw at 1.45 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp or Draw | 70% | @ 1.45 | +0.9% |
| St. Truiden or Draw | 56% | @ 1.53 | -13.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 38% | @ 3.00 | +12.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | @ 1.80 | +7.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | @ 1.25 | +1.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | @ 1.38 | -13.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | @ 2.00 | -19.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | @ 3.80 | -29.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | @ 1.62 | -0.7% |
| BTTS No | 39% | @ 2.10 | -18.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.80 (+7.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Antwerp vs St. Truiden.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Antwerp and 1.39 for St. Truiden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Antwerp and St. Truiden play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
