Sun 30 Aug0-4Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Telstar vs Ajax Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Telstar vs Ajax in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Telstar 0-4 Ajax

Telstar vs Ajax finished 0-4. Ajax won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Telstar face Ajax in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:45 UTC. Recent form: Telstar have 3 wins from their last 5, while Ajax have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Ajax won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.5-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Telstar vs Ajax with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Telstar +2 @ 1.32

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	6.4%	6.2%	3.9%	1.9%
1	4.9%	9.5%	9.1%	5.8%	2.8%
2	3.7%	7.0%	6.7%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.8%	3.5%	3.3%	2.1%	1.0%
4	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Telstar winDrawAjax win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Telstar vs Ajax comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Ajax win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Telstar 23%Draw 25%Ajax 52%

23%25%52%

52%

Ajax Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Telstar and Ajax. Wins shown from Telstar’s perspective: Ajax 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Telstar	0 – 4	Ajax	L
2026-01-11	Telstar	2 – 3	Ajax	L
2025-08-10	Ajax	2 – 0	Telstar	L

📈 Recent form

Telstar

Telstar come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar.

LAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Telstar

No absentees reported.

Ajax

D. BlindInjury
R. BounidaInjury
M. CarrizoNot in squad
Y. RegeerInjury
P. ReversonInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Telstar at 23% to win and Ajax at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax Win	52%	64%	@ 1.46
Draw	25%	20%	@ 4.70
Telstar Win	23%	16%	@ 5.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ajax or Draw at 1.13 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax or Draw	77%	84%	@ 1.13
Telstar or Draw	47%	36%	@ 2.60

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	66%	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	56%	53%	@ 1.78
Over 3.5	44%	47%	@ 2.02
Under 2.5	34%	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	15%	@ 6.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	34%	38%	@ 2.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Telstar or Ajax is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax +0.75	81%	86%	1.10
Telstar +2	80%	72%	@ 1.32
Ajax +0.5	77%	82%	1.16
Telstar +1.75	76%	64%	@ 1.48
Telstar +1.5	72%	58%	@ 1.62
Ajax +0.25	71%	79%	1.19
Telstar +1.25	66%	54%	@ 1.77
Ajax 0	65%	78%	1.23
Telstar +1	59%	47%	@ 2.02
Ajax -0.25	59%	69%	1.38
Telstar +0.75	53%	41%	@ 2.31
Ajax -0.5	53%	63%	1.48
Telstar +0.5	47%	37%	@ 2.57
Ajax -0.75	47%	59%	1.63
Telstar +0.25	41%	31%	@ 3.10
Ajax -1	41%	53%	1.79
Telstar 0	35%	22%	@ 4.28
Ajax -1.25	34%	46%	2.07
Telstar -0.25	29%	21%	@ 4.50
Ajax -1.5	28%	42%	2.24
Ajax -1.75	24%	36%	2.67
Telstar -0.5	23%	18%	@ 5.25
Ajax -2	20%	28%	3.38
Telstar -0.75	19%	14%	@ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

Telstar 17%Draw 20%Ajax 63%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Telstar vs Ajax?

Our model's main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Ajax?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.9 scoreline for Telstar vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Telstar and 1.92 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Telstar and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.