Sun 30 Aug3-2Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Rennes vs Le Mans Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rennes vs Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans

Rennes vs Le Mans finished 3-2. Rennes won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rennes face Le Mans in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:15 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rennes vs Le Mans with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Le Mans +2 @ 1.38

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
1	8.8%	11.0%	6.9%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.5%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.4%	5.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Rennes winDrawLe Mans win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rennes vs Le Mans comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Le Mans with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Rennes 50%Draw 28%Le Mans 22%

50%28%22%

50%

Rennes Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Rennes

Rennes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Marseille. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Lyon.

LLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
DSturm Graz 0-0 RennesUEFA Europa League
WRennes 1-0 MarseilleLigue 1
WAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
WRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Rennes.

WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Rennes

B. SambaMuscle Injury

Le Mans

R. BambaLoan agreement
E. ColasInjury
Y. LarouciConcussion
S. YohouThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rennes at 50% to win and Le Mans at 22%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes Win	50%	67%	@ 1.40
Draw	28%	19%	@ 4.80
Le Mans Win	22%	14%	@ 6.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rennes or Draw at 1.10 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes or Draw	76%	86%	@ 1.10
Le Mans or Draw	48%	33%	@ 2.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	82%	@ 1.15
Under 3.5	65%	60%	@ 1.58
Over 2.5	57%	61%	@ 1.54
Under 2.5	43%	39%	@ 2.45
Over 3.5	35%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	20%	18%	@ 5.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	54%	@ 1.71
BTTS No	41%	46%	@ 2.04

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rennes or Le Mans is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans +2	80%	69%	@ 1.38
Rennes +0.5	76%	85%	1.12
Le Mans +1.75	76%	61%	@ 1.55
Le Mans +1.5	72%	55%	@ 1.70
Rennes +0.25	70%	84%	1.13
Le Mans +1.25	66%	50%	@ 1.96
Rennes 0	64%	83%	1.15
Le Mans +1	60%	43%	@ 2.22
Rennes -0.25	58%	74%	1.28
Le Mans +0.75	54%	37%	@ 2.58
Rennes -0.5	52%	67%	1.40
Le Mans +0.5	48%	33%	@ 2.86
Rennes -0.75	46%	63%	1.51
Le Mans +0.25	42%	26%	@ 3.67
Rennes -1	40%	57%	1.66
Le Mans 0	36%	17%	@ 5.50
Rennes -1.25	34%	50%	1.92
Le Mans -0.25	30%	16%	@ 5.90
Rennes -1.5	28%	45%	2.11
Rennes -1.75	24%	39%	2.46
Le Mans -0.5	24%	15%	@ 6.40
Rennes -2	20%	31%	3.10

📈 How the market moved

Rennes 66%Draw 20%Le Mans 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Le Mans?

Our model's main pick is Le Mans with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Le Mans?

Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Rennes vs Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Rennes and 1.25 for Le Mans. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rennes and Le Mans play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.