Sun 30 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 finished 3-0. FC Augsburg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Augsburg face FC Schalke 04 in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Schalke 04 +1.25 @ 1.28

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	7.8%	5.7%	2.7%	1.0%
1	7.9%	11.5%	8.3%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.4%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.1%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Augsburg winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Schalke 04 with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Augsburg 31%Draw 37%FC Schalke 04 32%

31%37%32%

37%

Draw

56%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Werder Bremen.

LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
WFC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Union Berlin. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at FC Augsburg.

DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
WUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga
LFC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
DHallescher FC 2-2 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Augsburg

T. BreithauptInjury
S. MounieInjury

FC Schalke 04

E. HojlundHeel Injury
T. KalasLacking Match Fitness
K. KaramanHip Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Augsburg at 31% to win and FC Schalke 04 at 32%, with the draw at 37%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	37%	27%	@ 3.50
FC Schalke 04 Win	32%	30%	@ 3.10
FC Augsburg Win	31%	43%	@ 2.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at 1.67 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Schalke 04 or Draw	64%	57%	@ 1.67
FC Augsburg or Draw	62%	70%	@ 1.34

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	66%	65%	@ 1.45
Over 2.5	56%	56%	@ 1.68
Under 2.5	44%	44%	@ 2.15
Over 3.5	34%	35%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	21%	22%	@ 4.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	60%	@ 1.56
BTTS No	41%	40%	@ 2.32

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Augsburg or FC Schalke 04 is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Schalke 04 +1.75	87%	82%	@ 1.16
FC Schalke 04 +1.5	84%	76%	@ 1.23
FC Augsburg +1.5	83%	85%	1.12
FC Schalke 04 +1.25	79%	74%	@ 1.28
FC Augsburg +1.25	78%	84%	1.13
FC Schalke 04 +1	74%	71%	1.34
FC Augsburg +1	73%	83%	1.15
FC Schalke 04 +0.75	69%	63%	@ 1.52
FC Augsburg +0.75	68%	75%	1.27
FC Schalke 04 +0.5	64%	56%	@ 1.70
FC Augsburg +0.5	62%	69%	1.37
FC Schalke 04 +0.25	58%	50%	@ 1.94
FC Augsburg +0.25	56%	64%	1.49
FC Schalke 04 0	51%	41%	@ 2.32
FC Augsburg 0	49%	59%	1.61
FC Schalke 04 -0.25	44%	36%	@ 2.69
FC Augsburg -0.25	42%	50%	1.93
FC Schalke 04 -0.5	38%	31%	@ 3.05
FC Augsburg -0.5	36%	44%	2.13
FC Schalke 04 -0.75	32%	25%	@ 3.84
FC Augsburg -0.75	31%	37%	2.56
FC Schalke 04 -1	27%	17%	@ 5.50
FC Augsburg -1	26%	29%	3.32
FC Schalke 04 -1.25	22%	16%	@ 5.90
FC Augsburg -1.25	21%	26%	3.65
FC Schalke 04 -1.5	17%	15%	@ 6.25
FC Augsburg -1.5	16%	24%	3.92
FC Augsburg -1.75	13%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

FC Augsburg 44%Draw 26%FC Schalke 04 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model's main pick is FC Schalke 04 with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04.

What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for FC Augsburg and 1.45 for FC Schalke 04. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.