Sun 30 Aug1-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Napoli vs Como Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Napoli vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Napoli 1-2 Como

Napoli vs Como finished 1-2. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Napoli face Como in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Napoli have 3 wins from their last 5, while Como have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Napoli won 1, Como won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Napoli win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Napoli vs Como with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Napoli +0.75 @ 1.25

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.23 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	10.5%	6.5%	2.6%	0.8%
1	10.5%	12.9%	7.9%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.5%	7.9%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.6%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Napoli winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Napoli vs Como comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Napoli with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Napoli win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Napoli 40%Draw 28%Como 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Napoli Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Napoli and Como. Wins shown from Napoli’s perspective: Napoli 1 · 2 drawn · Como 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Napoli	1 – 2	Como	L
2026-05-02	Como	0 – 0	Napoli	D
2025-11-01	Napoli	0 – 0	Como	D
2025-02-23	Como	2 – 1	Napoli	L
2024-10-04	Napoli	3 – 1	Como	W

📈 Recent form

Napoli

Napoli come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Arsenal.

DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
WNapoli 1-0 BolognaSerie A
LNapoli 0-1 ArsenalUEFA Champions League
LInter 3-2 NapoliSerie A
LNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

Como

Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Napoli

A. BuongiornoKnee Injury
L. MarianucciKnee Injury
P. MazzocchiKnee Injury

Como

J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Napoli at 40% to win and Como at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Napoli win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Napoli Win	40%	38%	@ 2.48
Como Win	32%	31%	@ 3.05
Draw	28%	32%	@ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Napoli or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Napoli or Draw	67%	69%	@ 1.36
Como or Draw	59%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	80%	@ 1.18
Over 1.5	70%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	55%	61%	@ 1.55
Over 2.5	45%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	30%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	23%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	50%	52%	@ 1.79
BTTS Yes	50%	48%	@ 1.96

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Napoli or Como is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Napoli +1.5	86%	–	1.09
Como +1.75	84%	86%	1.10
Napoli +1.25	82%	86%	1.11
Como +1.5	81%	82%	1.15
Napoli +1	77%	–	1.14
Como +1.25	75%	–	1.20
Napoli +0.75	72%	76%	1.25
Como +1	70%	78%	1.23
Napoli +0.5	67%	69%	1.37
Como +0.75	64%	68%	1.40
Napoli +0.25	61%	64%	1.50
Como +0.5	59%	61%	1.54
Napoli 0	54%	56%	1.71
Como +0.25	52%	55%	1.74
Napoli -0.25	48%	45%	@ 2.13
Como 0	46%	44%	2.14
Napoli -0.5	41%	39%	@ 2.44
Como -0.25	39%	36%	@ 2.65
Napoli -0.75	36%	32%	@ 3.02
Como -0.5	33%	31%	3.06
Napoli -1	30%	22%	@ 4.29
Como -0.75	28%	24%	@ 4.00
Napoli -1.5	19%	18%	5.12
Como -1.25	18%	14%	@ 6.60
Napoli -1.75	16%	14%	@ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

Napoli 38%Draw 32%Como 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Como?

Our model's main pick is Napoli with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Como?

Our model makes a Napoli win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Napoli vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Como?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Napoli and 1.23 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Napoli and Como play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.