Sun 30 Aug3-2Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Bahia vs Internacional Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bahia vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bahia 3-2 Internacional

Bahia vs Internacional finished 3-2. Bahia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bahia face Internacional in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Bahia have 1 win from their last 5, while Internacional have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bahia won 2, Internacional won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bahia vs Internacional with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Internacional +1.5 @ 1.30

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.6%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
1	12.2%	12.9%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.1%	8.6%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.6%	3.9%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bahia winDrawInternacional win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bahia vs Internacional comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Internacional with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bahia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Bahia 35%Draw 33%Internacional 31%

35%33%31%

35%

Bahia Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bahia and Internacional. Wins shown from Bahia’s perspective: Bahia 2 · 1 drawn · Internacional 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Bahia	3 – 2	Internacional	W
2024-07-27	Bahia	1 – 1	Internacional	D
2024-04-13	Internacional	2 – 1	Bahia	L
2023-10-19	Bahia	1 – 0	Internacional	W
2023-05-28	Internacional	2 – 0	Bahia	L

📈 Recent form

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Vitória. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense.

LAthletico Paranaense 2-1 BahiaBrazilian Série A
WBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
WBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WVitória 0-2 BahiaBrazilian Série A

Internacional

Internacional come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Chapecoense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at São Paulo.

LSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
LInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
LGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
LBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bahia

Everton RibeiroNot in squad
Jean LucasSuspended (cards)
Leo VieiraKnee Injury

Internacional

AllexNot in squad
B. ArhinHamstring Injury
Bruno GomesSuspended (cards)
KaykyAnkle Injury
G. MercadoSuspended (cards)
Paulinho PaulaSuspended (cards)
S. RochetLower Back Injury
Victor GabrielSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bahia at 35% to win and Internacional at 31%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bahia Win	35%	49%	@ 1.92
Draw	33%	26%	@ 3.55
Internacional Win	31%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bahia or Draw at 1.26 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bahia or Draw	65%	75%	@ 1.26
Internacional or Draw	61%	51%	@ 1.84

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	69%	@ 1.37
Over 1.5	69%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	57%	48%	@ 1.97
Over 2.5	43%	52%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	31%	25%	@ 3.85
Over 3.5	22%	31%	@ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	45%	@ 2.07
BTTS Yes	49%	55%	@ 1.67

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bahia or Internacional is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Internacional +2	88%	84%	1.13
Internacional +1.75	85%	77%	@ 1.23
Internacional +1.5	82%	72%	@ 1.30
Internacional +1.25	77%	68%	@ 1.39
Internacional +1	72%	63%	@ 1.50
Bahia +0.75	70%	82%	1.16
Internacional +0.75	66%	55%	@ 1.71
Bahia +0.5	65%	–	1.25
Internacional +0.5	61%	50%	@ 1.91
Bahia +0.25	59%	73%	1.30
Internacional +0.25	54%	41%	@ 2.31
Bahia 0	52%	68%	1.39
Internacional 0	48%	32%	@ 2.94
Bahia -0.25	46%	59%	1.62
Internacional -0.25	41%	27%	@ 3.47
Bahia -0.5	39%	50%	1.88
Bahia -0.75	34%	45%	2.13
Internacional -0.75	30%	18%	@ 5.25
Bahia -1	28%	37%	2.59
Bahia -1.25	23%	32%	2.96
Bahia -1.5	18%	28%	3.36
Bahia -1.75	15%	23%	4.10
Bahia -2	12%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Bahia 49%Draw 26%Internacional 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Internacional?

Our model's main pick is Internacional with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Internacional?

Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Bahia vs Internacional.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Bahia and 1.06 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bahia and Internacional play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.