Mon 31 Aug1-0Finished

⚽ La Liga

Osasuna vs Getafe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Osasuna vs Getafe in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Osasuna 1-0 Getafe

Osasuna vs Getafe finished 1-0. Osasuna won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Osasuna face Getafe in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Osasuna have no wins from their last 5, while Getafe have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Getafe won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Osasuna vs Getafe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Getafe +1 @ 1.27

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.23 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	10.7%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
1	13.8%	13.2%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	8.5%	8.1%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.5%	3.3%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.1%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Osasuna winDrawGetafe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Getafe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Getafe with a +1 start at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Osasuna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Osasuna 36%Draw 32%Getafe 32%

36%32%32%

36%

Osasuna Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Osasuna and Getafe. Wins shown from Osasuna’s perspective: Osasuna 2 · 1 drawn · Getafe 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-31	Osasuna	1 – 0	Getafe	W
2026-05-23	Getafe	1 – 0	Osasuna	L
2025-10-03	Osasuna	2 – 1	Getafe	W
2025-03-16	Osasuna	1 – 2	Getafe	L
2024-10-05	Getafe	1 – 1	Osasuna	D

📈 Recent form

Osasuna

Osasuna come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Atlético Madrid.

DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
LAtlético Madrid 4-0 OsasunaLa Liga
LOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
LAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.

WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Osasuna

V. RosierHamstring Injury

Getafe

A. AbqarMuscle Injury
JuanmiInjury
M. MartinInjury
C. UcheKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Osasuna at 36% to win and Getafe at 32%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Osasuna Win	36%	43%	@ 2.20
Getafe Win	32%	25%	@ 3.80
Draw	32%	32%	@ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Osasuna or Draw at 1.26 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Osasuna or Draw	65%	75%	@ 1.26
Getafe or Draw	61%	57%	@ 1.66

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	82%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 1.5	64%	58%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	62%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	38%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	36%	42%	@ 2.28
Over 3.5	18%	15%	@ 6.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	60%	@ 1.55
BTTS Yes	43%	40%	@ 2.32

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Osasuna or Getafe is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Getafe +1.75	85%	86%	1.11
Getafe +1.5	82%	80%	1.17
Getafe +1.25	77%	78%	1.22
Getafe +1	72%	75%	1.27
Osasuna +0.75	70%	–	1.17
Getafe +0.75	66%	64%	1.49
Osasuna +0.5	65%	–	1.26
Getafe +0.5	61%	56%	@ 1.67
Osasuna +0.25	59%	72%	1.33
Getafe +0.25	54%	48%	@ 2.00
Osasuna 0	52%	64%	1.49
Getafe 0	48%	36%	@ 2.63
Osasuna -0.25	46%	52%	1.87
Getafe -0.25	41%	28%	@ 3.37
Osasuna -0.5	39%	44%	2.17
Osasuna -0.75	34%	36%	2.69
Osasuna -1	28%	25%	@ 3.83
Osasuna -1.25	23%	22%	@ 4.41
Osasuna -1.5	18%	20%	4.58
Osasuna -1.75	15%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Osasuna 43%Draw 33%Getafe 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model's main pick is Getafe with a +1 start at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Osasuna vs Getafe.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Getafe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Osasuna and 0.96 for Getafe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Osasuna and Getafe play?

Kick-off is Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.