Wed 2 Sep3-0Finished

⚽ Premiership

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd finished 3-0. Motherwell won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Motherwell face Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Motherwell have 2 wins from their last 5, while Dundee Utd have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.7-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Motherwell or Draw @ 1.26

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	6.7%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.6%	11.4%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.7%	9.7%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.1%	5.5%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Motherwell winDrawDundee Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Motherwell or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Motherwell win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Motherwell 56%Draw 25%Dundee Utd 20%

56%25%20%

56%

Motherwell Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dundee Utd. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Dundee.

LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Motherwell.

WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
WKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee UtdPremiership
LDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Motherwell at 56% to win and Dundee Utd at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Motherwell Win	56%	49%	@ 1.89
Draw	25%	26%	@ 3.55
Dundee Utd Win	20%	25%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Motherwell or Draw at 1.26 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Motherwell or Draw	80%	75%	@ 1.26
Dundee Utd or Draw	44%	51%	@ 1.85

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	67%	@ 1.41
Over 1.5	73%	77%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	52%	46%	@ 2.06
Over 2.5	48%	54%	@ 1.72
Under 1.5	27%	23%	@ 4.10
Over 3.5	26%	33%	@ 2.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	43%	@ 2.14
BTTS Yes	48%	57%	@ 1.61

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Motherwell or Dundee Utd is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Motherwell +1.25	90%	86%	1.10
Motherwell +1	86%	86%	1.11
Motherwell +0.75	83%	79%	1.20
Motherwell +0.5	80%	73%	@ 1.29
Dundee Utd +2	77%	85%	1.12
Motherwell +0.25	74%	70%	1.35
Dundee Utd +1.75	73%	79%	1.20
Dundee Utd +1.5	69%	–	1.30
Motherwell 0	68%	64%	@ 1.48
Dundee Utd +1.25	62%	70%	1.36
Motherwell -0.25	62%	55%	@ 1.72
Dundee Utd +1	56%	66%	1.44
Motherwell -0.5	56%	48%	@ 1.95
Dundee Utd +0.75	50%	58%	1.65
Motherwell -0.75	50%	42%	@ 2.27
Dundee Utd +0.5	44%	52%	1.83
Motherwell -1	44%	34%	@ 2.79
Dundee Utd +0.25	38%	45%	2.15
Motherwell -1.25	38%	30%	@ 3.16
Dundee Utd 0	32%	36%	2.65
Motherwell -1.75	27%	21%	@ 4.40
Dundee Utd -0.25	26%	30%	3.18
Motherwell -2	23%	15%	@ 6.40
Dundee Utd -0.5	20%	27%	3.52
Dundee Utd -0.75	17%	21%	4.40
Dundee Utd -1	14%	14%	6.60
Dundee Utd -1.25	10%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Motherwell 48%Draw 26%Dundee Utd 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?

Our model's main pick is Motherwell or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?

Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Dundee Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Motherwell and 0.90 for Dundee Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Motherwell and Dundee Utd play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.