Wed 2 Sep0-3Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St. Truiden 0-3 Union St. Gilloise

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise finished 0-3. Union St. Gilloise won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at 1.30, landed.

St. Truiden face Union St. Gilloise in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 5, while Union St. Gilloise have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Truiden won 1, Union St. Gilloise won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Union St. Gilloise DC X2 @ 1.30

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.01 – 1.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	11.1%	9.7%	5.6%	2.4%
1	6.5%	11.2%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.3%	5.7%	4.9%	2.9%	1.2%
3	1.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

St. Truiden winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

St. Truiden 21%Draw 25%Union St. Gilloise 54%

21%25%54%

54%

Union St. Gilloise Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise. Wins shown from St. Truiden’s perspective: St. Truiden 1 · 1 drawn · Union St. Gilloise 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	St. Truiden	0 – 3	Union St. Gilloise	L
2026-05-02	St. Truiden	2 – 1	Union St. Gilloise	W
2026-04-04	Union St. Gilloise	1 – 0	St. Truiden	L
2025-02-02	Union St. Gilloise	2 – 1	St. Truiden	L
2024-08-25	St. Truiden	0 – 0	Union St. Gilloise	D

📈 Recent form

St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.

LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Lommel United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
WUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Truiden at 21% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise Win	54%	50%	@ 1.88
Draw	25%	26%	@ 3.65
St. Truiden Win	21%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.25 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	78%	75%	@ 1.25
St. Truiden or Draw	46%	50%	@ 1.88

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 3.5	70%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	52%	54%	@ 1.75
Under 2.5	48%	46%	@ 2.02
Over 3.5	30%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	24%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	56%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	47%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or Union St. Gilloise is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise +1.25	89%	86%	1.10
Union St. Gilloise +1	85%	86%	1.10
Union St. Gilloise +0.75	82%	80%	1.18
St. Truiden +2	79%	85%	1.12
Union St. Gilloise +0.5	78%	–	1.26
St. Truiden +1.75	74%	78%	1.21
Union St. Gilloise +0.25	72%	72%	1.33
St. Truiden +1.5	70%	72%	1.31
Union St. Gilloise 0	66%	–	1.46
St. Truiden +1.25	64%	69%	1.39
Union St. Gilloise -0.25	60%	57%	1.67
St. Truiden +1	58%	65%	1.48
Union St. Gilloise -0.5	54%	50%	@ 1.90
St. Truiden +0.75	52%	56%	1.70
Union St. Gilloise -0.75	48%	44%	@ 2.17
St. Truiden +0.5	46%	50%	1.88
Union St. Gilloise -1	42%	35%	@ 2.69
St. Truiden +0.25	40%	43%	2.24
Union St. Gilloise -1.25	36%	31%	@ 3.04
Union St. Gilloise -1.5	30%	28%	3.35
St. Truiden -0.25	28%	28%	3.36
Union St. Gilloise -1.75	26%	22%	@ 4.25
Union St. Gilloise -2	21%	15%	@ 6.25
St. Truiden -0.75	18%	20%	4.80
St. Truiden -1	15%	14%	@ 7.00
St. Truiden -1.25	11%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

St. Truiden 25%Draw 26%Union St. Gilloise 49%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model's main pick is Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.01 for St. Truiden and 1.74 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.