⚽ Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sparta Rotterdam face PEC Zwolle in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam have 1 win from their last 5, while PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PEC Zwolle with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: 3 drawn · PEC Zwolle 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 – 2 | PEC Zwolle | D |
| 2026-03-08 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 1 | PEC Zwolle | D |
| 2025-11-08 | PEC Zwolle | 1 – 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
| 2025-03-15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 1 | PEC Zwolle | D |
| 2024-11-30 | PEC Zwolle | 1 – 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | L |
📈 Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.
- LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. van CruijsenInjury
- J. BurgerKnock
- F. KrastevAchilles Tendon Injury
- Y. NamliKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 41% to win and PEC Zwolle at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 41% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| PEC Zwolle Win | 31% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 1.25 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 68% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| PEC Zwolle or Draw | 58% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Rotterdam or PEC Zwolle is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| PEC Zwolle +2 | 86% | 83% | 1.14 |
| PEC Zwolle +1.75 | 83% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.25 | 82% | 86% | 1.11 |
| PEC Zwolle +1.5 | 80% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| PEC Zwolle +1.25 | 74% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.75 | 73% | 79% | 1.20 |
| PEC Zwolle +1 | 69% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.5 | 68% | 73% | 1.29 |
| PEC Zwolle +0.75 | 63% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 | 62% | 70% | 1.36 |
| PEC Zwolle +0.5 | 58% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 | 55% | 65% | 1.45 |
| PEC Zwolle +0.25 | 51% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | 49% | 56% | 1.71 |
| PEC Zwolle 0 | 45% | 35% | @ 2.74 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 | 42% | 50% | 1.87 |
| PEC Zwolle -0.25 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.75 | 37% | 44% | 2.17 |
| PEC Zwolle -0.5 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.49 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1 | 31% | 38% | 2.53 |
| PEC Zwolle -0.75 | 27% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.25 | 26% | 33% | 2.90 |
| PEC Zwolle -1 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.5 | 20% | 30% | 3.17 |
| PEC Zwolle -1.25 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.75 | 17% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -2 | 14% | 17% | 5.75 |
| PEC Zwolle -1.5 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our model's main pick is PEC Zwolle with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.43 for PEC Zwolle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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