⚽ Serie A

Fiorentina vs Torino Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fiorentina vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Fiorentina face Torino in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5, while Torino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, 4 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fiorentina vs Torino with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	7.3%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.2%	11.7%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.4%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Fiorentina winDrawTorino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Torino is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Fiorentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.16 (+12.5% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.16, 52% model probability, +12.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Fiorentina 46%Draw 28%Torino 26%

46%28%26%

46%

Fiorentina Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+12.5%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Fiorentina and Torino. Wins shown from Fiorentina’s perspective: Fiorentina 1 · 4 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-07	Fiorentina	2 – 2	Torino	D
2025-08-31	Torino	0 – 0	Fiorentina	D
2025-01-19	Fiorentina	1 – 1	Torino	D
2024-11-03	Torino	0 – 1	Fiorentina	W
2024-03-02	Torino	0 – 0	Fiorentina	D

📈 Recent form

Fiorentina

Fiorentina come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Frosinone.

LFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A
LAS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaSerie A
LBenevento 4-1 FiorentinaCoppa Italia
DFiorentina 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs
DReal Madrid 2-2 FiorentinaFriendlies Clubs

Torino

Torino come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Monza.

LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 1-2 AC MilanSerie A
WTorino 1-0 CarrareseCoppa Italia
WBurnley 0-1 TorinoFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fiorentina

F. ParisiKnee Injury
R. SottilBack Injury
A. AttaInjury
DodoInjury

Torino

F. IsraelShoulder Injury
P. PellegriKnee Injury
C. CasadeiRest

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fiorentina at 46% to win and Torino at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Fiorentina win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Torino Win	26%	@ 4.20	+8.5%
Draw	28%	@ 3.25	-7.5%
Fiorentina Win	46%	@ 1.90	-13.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torino or Draw at 1.86 (53% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Torino or Draw	53%	@ 1.86	-1.7%
Fiorentina or Draw	73%	@ 1.21	-12.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	30%	@ 4.00	+19.7%
Over 2.5	52%	@ 2.16	+12.5%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.35	+2.9%
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.23	-13.8%
Under 2.5	48%	@ 1.67	-20.0%
Under 1.5	24%	@ 3.10	-26.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.92	+4.1%
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.82	-16.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	54%
Dixon-Coles	Home	43%
GradientBoosting	Home	44%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.53 for the home side, 1.10 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Torino?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.16 (+12.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Torino?

Our model makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Torino.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Fiorentina and 1.15 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fiorentina and Torino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.