⚽ Serie A
Fiorentina vs Torino Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fiorentina vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Result: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino
Fiorentina vs Torino finished 1-2. Torino won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Fiorentina face Torino in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5, while Torino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, Torino won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fiorentina vs Torino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Torino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fiorentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fiorentina and Torino. Wins shown from Fiorentina’s perspective: Fiorentina 1 · 3 drawn · Torino 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Fiorentina | 1 – 2 | Torino | L |
| 2026-02-07 | Fiorentina | 2 – 2 | Torino | D |
| 2025-08-31 | Torino | 0 – 0 | Fiorentina | D |
| 2025-01-19 | Fiorentina | 1 – 1 | Torino | D |
| 2024-11-03 | Torino | 0 – 1 | Fiorentina | W |
📈 Recent form
Fiorentina come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Pisa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Torino.
- DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
- WFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia
- WVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
- LFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
- LFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A
Torino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.
- DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
- LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
- WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
- LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
- LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. ParisiKnee Injury
- R. SottilBack Injury
- C. CasadeiRest
- F. IsraelShoulder Injury
- P. PellegriKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fiorentina at 46% to win and Torino at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Fiorentina win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina Win | 46% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Torino Win | 26% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fiorentina or Draw at 1.21 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina or Draw | 73% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Torino or Draw | 53% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fiorentina or Torino is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino +1.75 | 80% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Fiorentina +0.75 | 77% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Torino +1.5 | 76% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Fiorentina +0.5 | 73% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Torino +1.25 | 70% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Fiorentina +0.25 | 66% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Torino +1 | 64% | 66% | 1.46 |
| Fiorentina 0 | 60% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Torino +0.75 | 59% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Fiorentina -0.25 | 54% | 58% | 1.66 |
| Torino +0.5 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.92 |
| Fiorentina -0.5 | 47% | 49% | 1.96 |
| Torino +0.25 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Fiorentina -0.75 | 41% | 43% | 2.23 |
| Torino 0 | 40% | 31% | @ 3.07 |
| Fiorentina -1 | 36% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Torino -0.25 | 34% | 27% | @ 3.60 |
| Fiorentina -1.25 | 30% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Torino -0.5 | 27% | 23% | @ 4.18 |
| Fiorentina -1.5 | 24% | 27% | 3.56 |
| Torino -0.75 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Fiorentina -1.75 | 20% | 21% | 4.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Torino?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Torino?
Our model makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Torino.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Fiorentina and 1.15 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fiorentina and Torino play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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