⚽ Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

1899 Hoffenheim face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Dortmund have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.5-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Borussia Dortmund or Draw @ 1.42

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 2.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	6.1%	6.3%	4.3%	2.2%
1	4.3%	8.9%	9.2%	6.3%	3.2%
2	3.2%	6.5%	6.7%	4.6%	2.4%
3	1.5%	3.2%	3.3%	2.2%	1.2%
4	0.6%	1.2%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

1899 Hoffenheim winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

Best value

Borussia Dortmund or Draw at odds 1.42, 73% model probability, +3.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

1899 Hoffenheim 29%Draw 22%Borussia Dortmund 50%

29%22%50%

50%

Borussia Dortmund Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

+3.7%

Best value: Borussia Dortmund or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund. Wins shown from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective: 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · 1 drawn · Borussia Dortmund 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-18	1899 Hoffenheim	2 – 1	Borussia Dortmund	W
2025-12-07	Borussia Dortmund	2 – 0	1899 Hoffenheim	L
2025-04-26	1899 Hoffenheim	2 – 3	Borussia Dortmund	L
2024-12-15	Borussia Dortmund	1 – 1	1899 Hoffenheim	D
2024-02-25	Borussia Dortmund	2 – 3	1899 Hoffenheim	W

📈 Recent form

1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Erzgebirge Aue. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at 1. FC Köln.

L1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
WErzgebirge Aue 0-4 1899 HoffenheimDFB Pokal
W1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Karlsruher SCFriendlies Clubs
W1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
WSGV Freiberg 0-3 1899 HoffenheimFriendlies Clubs

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at HEBC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern München.

WHEBC 0-5 Borussia DortmundDFB Pokal
WBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup
DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs
WFC Tokyo 0-1 Borussia DortmundFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

1899 Hoffenheim

F. AsllaniInjury
A. PrassMuscle Injury

Borussia Dortmund

E. CanKnee Injury
S. InacioSuspended (red card)
M. KabaInjury
G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
J. LermaMuscle Injury
N. SchlotterbeckAnkle Injury
R. BensebainiRibs Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1899 Hoffenheim at 29% to win and Borussia Dortmund at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Borussia Dortmund Win	50%	@ 2.23	+10.5%
1899 Hoffenheim Win	29%	@ 2.80	-18.9%
Draw	22%	@ 3.75	-19.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.42 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Borussia Dortmund or Draw	73%	@ 1.42	+3.7%
1899 Hoffenheim or Draw	52%	@ 1.62	-15.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	68%	@ 1.42	-3.0%
Over 3.5	47%	@ 2.06	-3.7%
Over 1.5	87%	@ 1.11	-3.9%
Under 3.5	53%	@ 1.73	-7.9%
Under 2.5	32%	@ 2.75	-12.8%
Under 1.5	13%	@ 6.10	-18.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	33%	@ 2.85	-5.6%
BTTS Yes	67%	@ 1.38	-7.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	46%
Dixon-Coles	Away	57%
GradientBoosting	Away	48%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.09 for the home side, 1.54 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our main pick is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at odds 1.42, with 73% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund.

What is the predicted score for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.46 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 2.06 for Borussia Dortmund. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.