Sat 5 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Premiership

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Aberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Aberdeen face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Aberdeen have 1 win from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Aberdeen won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.65

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	5.9%	5.2%	3.0%	1.3%
1	5.5%	9.7%	8.5%	4.9%	2.2%
2	4.5%	7.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.8%
3	2.5%	4.3%	3.8%	2.2%	1.0%
4	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Aberdeen winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Kilmarnock win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Aberdeen 38%Draw 22%Kilmarnock 40%

38%22%40%

40%

Kilmarnock Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock. Wins shown from Aberdeen’s perspective: Aberdeen 1 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Kilmarnock	1 – 1	Aberdeen	D
2026-09-05	Aberdeen	0 – 0	Kilmarnock	D
2026-04-25	Aberdeen	1 – 0	Kilmarnock	W

📈 Recent form

Aberdeen

Aberdeen come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Motherwell. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Celtic.

DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
WMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LCeltic 3-0 AberdeenPremiership

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Hibernian. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Mirren.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Aberdeen at 38% to win and Kilmarnock at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock Win	40%	23%	@ 3.95
Aberdeen Win	38%	52%	@ 1.77
Draw	22%	25%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kilmarnock or Draw at 1.97 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock or Draw	64%	48%	@ 1.97
Aberdeen or Draw	62%	77%	@ 1.22

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	79%	@ 1.19
Over 2.5	66%	57%	@ 1.65
Under 3.5	56%	64%	@ 1.46
Over 3.5	44%	36%	@ 2.60
Under 2.5	34%	43%	@ 2.18
Under 1.5	15%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	58%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	37%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Aberdeen 55%Draw 25%Kilmarnock 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 57%.

Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Aberdeen and 1.75 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Aberdeen and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.