Sat 5 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Dundee Utd vs Falkirk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Dundee Utd 1-1 Falkirk

Dundee Utd vs Falkirk finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dundee Utd face Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Dundee Utd have 1 win from their last 5, while Falkirk have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.49

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.9%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.2%	12.1%	7.1%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.8%	9.2%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.9%	4.6%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Dundee Utd winDrawFalkirk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Dundee Utd 45%Draw 25%Falkirk 30%

45%25%30%

45%

Dundee Utd Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Motherwell.

WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
WKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee UtdPremiership
LDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rangers.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 2-1 FalkirkPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dundee Utd at 45% to win and Falkirk at 30%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee Utd Win	45%	48%	@ 1.92
Falkirk Win	30%	27%	@ 3.40
Draw	25%	25%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee Utd or Draw at 1.29 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee Utd or Draw	71%	73%	@ 1.29
Falkirk or Draw	55%	52%	@ 1.82

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	80%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	71%	63%	@ 1.49
Over 2.5	51%	58%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	49%	42%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	29%	37%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	25%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	61%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	47%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Dundee Utd 49%Draw 26%Falkirk 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk?

Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk.

What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Dundee Utd and 1.18 for Falkirk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dundee Utd and Falkirk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.