Sat 5 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Premiership

Rangers vs Motherwell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rangers vs Motherwell in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Rangers 1-0 Motherwell

Rangers vs Motherwell finished 1-0. Rangers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rangers face Motherwell in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Rangers have 2 wins from their last 5, while Motherwell have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rangers won 1, Motherwell won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.9-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rangers vs Motherwell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.62
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.87 – 2.01 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.4%
1 3.9% 7.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.6%
2 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5%
3 2.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Projected score: 1-2
Rangers winDrawMotherwell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rangers vs Motherwell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Motherwell win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (73%).

📊 Key numbers

Rangers 36%Draw 21%Motherwell 42%
36%21%42%
42%
Motherwell Win
74%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rangers and Motherwell. Wins shown from Rangers’s perspective: Rangers 1 · Motherwell 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-05 Rangers 1 – 0 Motherwell W
2026-04-26 Rangers 2 – 3 Motherwell L

📈 Recent form

Rangers

Rangers come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Celtic. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
  • WRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
  • WRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • WRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
  • WFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dundee Utd. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Dundee.

  • LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
  • LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
  • LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
  • WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rangers at 36% to win and Motherwell at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Motherwell Win 42% 15% @ 6.10
Rangers Win 36% 63% @ 1.45
Draw 21% 22% @ 4.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Motherwell or Draw at 2.60 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Motherwell or Draw 66% 37% @ 2.60
Rangers or Draw 60% 85% @ 1.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 90% 80% @ 1.18
Over 2.5 74% 58% @ 1.62
Over 3.5 54% 37% @ 2.55
Under 3.5 46% 63% @ 1.47
Under 2.5 26% 42% @ 2.23
Under 1.5 10% 20% @ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 73% 53% @ 1.73
BTTS No 27% 47% @ 1.96

📈 How the market moved

10%40%69%08/3109/0109/0209/0309/0409/05

Rangers 65%Draw 21%Motherwell 14%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rangers vs Motherwell?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Rangers vs Motherwell?

Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.0 scoreline for Rangers vs Motherwell.

What is the predicted score for Rangers vs Motherwell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.87 for Rangers and 2.01 for Motherwell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rangers and Motherwell play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.