⚽ Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Result: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord finished 1-3. Feyenoord won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
NEC Nijmegen face Feyenoord in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 3, while Feyenoord have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 1, Feyenoord won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord. Wins shown from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective: NEC Nijmegen 1 · 3 drawn · Feyenoord 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 3 | Feyenoord | L |
| 2026-04-12 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 1 | Feyenoord | D |
| 2025-11-23 | Feyenoord | 2 – 4 | NEC Nijmegen | W |
| 2025-03-01 | Feyenoord | 0 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen | D |
| 2024-09-28 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 1 | Feyenoord | D |
📈 Recent form
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
Feyenoord come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Barcelona.
- WFeyenoord 5-0 UtrechtEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
- LBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- WNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. FonvilleInjury
- A. KaplanKnee Injury
- E. MorNot in squad
- P. SandlerInjury
- T. BeelenBroken Leg
- J. BosKnee Injury
- J. ModerKnee Injury
- B. NieuwkoopInjury
- G. SmalAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 31% to win and Feyenoord at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Win | 44% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 31% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Feyenoord or Draw at 1.42 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord or Draw | 70% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 56% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 87% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 | 51% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 50% | @ 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 70% | @ 1.32 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when NEC Nijmegen or Feyenoord is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord +1.75 | 90% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Feyenoord +1.5 | 88% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| NEC Nijmegen +2 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Feyenoord +1.25 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.75 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.5 | 79% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Feyenoord +1 | 79% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Feyenoord +0.75 | 74% | 71% | 1.34 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.25 | 73% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Feyenoord +0.5 | 70% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1 | 68% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Feyenoord +0.25 | 63% | 60% | 1.57 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.75 | 62% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Feyenoord 0 | 56% | 55% | 1.75 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.5 | 56% | 58% | 1.65 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.25 | 50% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Feyenoord -0.25 | 50% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| NEC Nijmegen 0 | 44% | 45% | 2.10 |
| Feyenoord -0.5 | 44% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Feyenoord -0.75 | 38% | 36% | 2.63 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.25 | 37% | 40% | 2.40 |
| Feyenoord -1 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.5 | 30% | 35% | 2.71 |
| Feyenoord -1.25 | 27% | 26% | 3.60 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.75 | 26% | 29% | 3.29 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1 | 21% | 23% | 4.15 |
| Feyenoord -1.5 | 21% | 25% | 3.80 |
| Feyenoord -1.75 | 18% | 20% | 4.80 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.25 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Feyenoord -2 | 14% | 14% | 6.80 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.5 | 12% | 19% | 5.00 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.75 | 10% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
Our model's main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.98 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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