⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs Antwerp Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Standard Liege vs Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Standard Liege face Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Standard Liege have 2 wins from their last 4, while Antwerp have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Standard Liege won 1, Antwerp won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Standard Liege vs Antwerp with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.26 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	10.0%	6.6%	2.9%	0.9%
1	9.6%	12.6%	8.3%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
3	2.6%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Standard Liege winDrawAntwerp win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Standard Liege vs Antwerp is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates an Antwerp win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Antwerp or Draw at odds 1.65 (+6.7% model value).

Best value

Antwerp or Draw at odds 1.65, 65% model probability, +6.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Standard Liege 34%Draw 29%Antwerp 37%

34%29%37%

37%

Antwerp Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+6.7%

Best value: Antwerp or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Standard Liege and Antwerp. Wins shown from Standard Liege’s perspective: Standard Liege 1 · 1 drawn · Antwerp 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-03	Antwerp	0 – 5	Standard Liege	W
2026-04-21	Standard Liege	1 – 2	Antwerp	L
2025-03-16	Standard Liege	0 – 0	Antwerp	D
2024-10-27	Antwerp	3 – 0	Standard Liege	L
2024-01-31	Standard Liege	0 – 1	Antwerp	L

📈 Recent form

Standard Liege

Standard Liege come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to FC Viktoria Köln.

WOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
WStandard Liege 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
DKV Mechelen 3-3 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
DStandard Liege 2-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
LStandard Liege 0-3 FC Viktoria KölnFriendlies Clubs

Antwerp

Antwerp come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Kortrijk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to St. Truiden.

LAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
WKortrijk 0-3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
WAntwerp 2-1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
LLeyton Orient 2-1 AntwerpFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Standard Liege at 34% to win and Antwerp at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Antwerp Win	37%	@ 3.15	+16.4%
Draw	29%	@ 3.35	-3.2%
Standard Liege Win	34%	@ 2.18	-25.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Antwerp or Draw at 1.65 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Antwerp or Draw	65%	@ 1.65	+6.7%
Standard Liege or Draw	62%	@ 1.33	-17.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.80	+3.8%
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.95	+2.6%
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.35	+0.2%
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.24	-9.9%
Over 2.5	47%	@ 1.81	-14.2%
Over 3.5	26%	@ 3.10	-20.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	48%	@ 2.12	+1.6%
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.62	-15.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	38%
Dixon-Coles	Home	37%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.27 for the home side, 1.33 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Antwerp or Draw at 1.65 (+6.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Standard Liege vs Antwerp.

What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs Antwerp?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.26 for Standard Liege and 1.31 for Antwerp. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Standard Liege and Antwerp play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.