⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liège vs Antwerp Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Standard Liège vs Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Standard Liège 1-0 Antwerp
Standard Liège vs Antwerp finished 1-0. Standard Liège won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Standard Liège face Antwerp in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Standard Liège have 2 wins from their last 4, while Antwerp have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Standard Liège won 2, Antwerp won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Standard Liège vs Antwerp with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Standard Liège vs Antwerp comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Antwerp win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Standard Liège and Antwerp. Wins shown from Standard Liège’s perspective: Standard Liège 2 · 1 drawn · Antwerp 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Standard Liège | 1 – 0 | Antwerp | W |
| 2026-05-03 | Antwerp | 0 – 5 | Standard Liège | W |
| 2026-04-21 | Standard Liège | 1 – 2 | Antwerp | L |
| 2025-03-16 | Standard Liège | 0 – 0 | Antwerp | D |
| 2024-10-27 | Antwerp | 3 – 0 | Standard Liège | L |
📈 Recent form
Standard Liège come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Gent.
- LGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- LKVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- WOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
Antwerp come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise.
- LAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 3-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- LStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- LAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Standard Liège at 34% to win and Antwerp at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp Win | 37% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Standard Liège Win | 34% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Antwerp or Draw at 1.65 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp or Draw | 65% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Standard Liège or Draw | 62% | 70% | @ 1.33 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 43% | @ 2.12 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Standard Liège or Antwerp is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +1.75 | 87% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Antwerp +1.5 | 85% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Standard Liège +1.5 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Antwerp +1.25 | 80% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Standard Liège +1.25 | 78% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Antwerp +1 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Standard Liège +1 | 72% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Antwerp +0.75 | 70% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Standard Liège +0.75 | 67% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Antwerp +0.5 | 65% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Standard Liège +0.5 | 62% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 58% | 48% | @ 2.02 |
| Standard Liège +0.25 | 55% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Antwerp 0 | 51% | 39% | @ 2.46 |
| Standard Liège 0 | 49% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Antwerp -0.25 | 45% | 33% | @ 2.92 |
| Standard Liège -0.25 | 42% | 52% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp -0.5 | 38% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Standard Liège -0.5 | 35% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Antwerp -0.75 | 33% | 22% | @ 4.28 |
| Standard Liège -0.75 | 30% | 39% | 2.46 |
| Antwerp -1 | 28% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Standard Liège -1 | 25% | 30% | 3.15 |
| Antwerp -1.25 | 22% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Standard Liège -1.25 | 20% | 26% | 3.60 |
| Antwerp -1.5 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Standard Liège -1.5 | 15% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Standard Liège -1.75 | 13% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Standard Liège vs Antwerp?
Our model's main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Standard Liège vs Antwerp?
Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Standard Liège vs Antwerp.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liège vs Antwerp?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.26 for Standard Liège and 1.31 for Antwerp. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Standard Liège and Antwerp play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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