Sat 5 Sep2-3Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

RB Bragantino vs Bahia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Bahia in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: RB Bragantino 2-3 Bahia

RB Bragantino vs Bahia finished 2-3. Bahia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

RB Bragantino face Bahia in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5, while Bahia have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 2, Bahia won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Bahia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

RB Bragantino or Draw @ 1.28

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.3%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
1	11.3%	11.8%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.5%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.9%	5.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.0%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

RB Bragantino winDrawBahia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Bahia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is RB Bragantino or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Bragantino 50%Draw 29%Bahia 21%

50%29%21%

50%

RB Bragantino Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Bragantino and Bahia. Wins shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective: RB Bragantino 2 · Bahia 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	RB Bragantino	2 – 3	Bahia	L
2024-09-01	RB Bragantino	2 – 1	Bahia	W
2024-05-12	Bahia	1 – 0	RB Bragantino	L
2023-08-20	Bahia	4 – 0	RB Bragantino	L
2023-04-15	RB Bragantino	2 – 1	Bahia	W

📈 Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Flamengo.

LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Vitória. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense.

LAthletico Paranaense 2-1 BahiaBrazilian Série A
WBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
WBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WVitória 0-2 BahiaBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Bragantino

Davi GomesKnee Injury
Eduardo SashaNot in squad
I. PittaSuspended (cards)
A. Sant'AnnaSuspended (cards)
VanderlanKnee Injury

Bahia

EveraldoSuspended (red card)
Leo VieiraKnee Injury
M. SanabriaNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 50% to win and Bahia at 21%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino Win	50%	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.45
Bahia Win	21%	26%	@ 3.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.28 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino or Draw	77%	74%	@ 1.28
Bahia or Draw	48%	53%	@ 1.78

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	75%	@ 1.26
Under 3.5	72%	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	50%	49%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	50%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	28%	29%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	55%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	47%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when RB Bragantino or Bahia is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino +1.25	88%	86%	1.10
RB Bragantino +1	84%	86%	1.11
RB Bragantino +0.75	80%	78%	1.22
Bahia +2	80%	86%	1.10
RB Bragantino +0.5	77%	73%	@ 1.31
Bahia +1.75	76%	81%	1.17
Bahia +1.5	72%	76%	1.25
RB Bragantino +0.25	71%	69%	1.39
Bahia +1.25	66%	73%	1.30
RB Bragantino 0	65%	63%	1.51
Bahia +1	60%	69%	1.38
RB Bragantino -0.25	58%	53%	@ 1.80
Bahia +0.75	54%	61%	1.57
RB Bragantino -0.5	52%	46%	@ 2.06
Bahia +0.5	48%	54%	1.77
RB Bragantino -0.75	46%	39%	@ 2.41
Bahia +0.25	42%	47%	2.07
RB Bragantino -1	40%	31%	@ 3.07
Bahia 0	35%	37%	2.56
RB Bragantino -1.25	34%	27%	@ 3.52
Bahia -0.25	29%	31%	3.04
RB Bragantino -1.5	28%	24%	@ 3.89
RB Bragantino -1.75	24%	19%	@ 5.00
Bahia -0.5	23%	27%	3.48
RB Bragantino -2	20%	14%	@ 7.00
Bahia -0.75	20%	22%	4.41
Bahia -1	16%	14%	@ 6.60
Bahia -1.25	12%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

RB Bragantino 46%Draw 27%Bahia 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

Our model's main pick is RB Bragantino or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Bahia.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for RB Bragantino and 1.05 for Bahia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Bragantino and Bahia play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.