Sat 5 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Premiership

St Mirren vs Celtic Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Mirren vs Celtic in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St Mirren 1-2 Celtic

St Mirren vs Celtic finished 1-2. Celtic won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St Mirren face Celtic in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: St Mirren have 3 wins from their last 5, while Celtic have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Celtic won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 0.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Mirren vs Celtic with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.56

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.72 – 1.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	13.6%	13.2%	8.5%	4.1%
1	5.0%	9.8%	9.5%	6.1%	3.0%
2	1.8%	3.5%	3.4%	2.2%	1.1%
3	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

St Mirren winDrawCeltic win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Celtic comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

St Mirren 13%Draw 21%Celtic 66%

13%21%66%

66%

Celtic Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between St Mirren and Celtic. Wins shown from St Mirren’s perspective: Celtic 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	St Mirren	1 – 2	Celtic	L
2026-04-11	Celtic	1 – 0	St Mirren	L

📈 Recent form

St Mirren

St Mirren come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Dundee Utd.

LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
LRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
LSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership
WKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership
DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at St Johnstone. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rangers.

LCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
LRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
WSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Mirren at 13% to win and Celtic at 66%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic Win	66%	64%	@ 1.43
Draw	21%	21%	@ 4.35
St Mirren Win	13%	14%	@ 6.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.10 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic or Draw	86%	86%	@ 1.10
St Mirren or Draw	33%	36%	@ 2.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	82%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	72%	60%	@ 1.56
Under 2.5	50%	38%	@ 2.43
Over 2.5	50%	62%	@ 1.52
Over 3.5	28%	40%	@ 2.33
Under 1.5	26%	18%	@ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	44%	@ 2.07
BTTS Yes	43%	56%	@ 1.65

📈 How the market moved

St Mirren 15%Draw 21%Celtic 64%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Mirren vs Celtic?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for St Mirren vs Celtic?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline for St Mirren vs Celtic.

What is the predicted score for St Mirren vs Celtic?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.72 for St Mirren and 1.94 for Celtic. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Mirren and Celtic play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.