vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati vs DC United Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
FC Cincinnati face DC United in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Cincinnati have 2 wins from their last 5, while DC United have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, DC United won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs DC United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs DC United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (80%), both teams to score points yes (72%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 1.83 (+12.6% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between FC Cincinnati and DC United. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 2 · 1 drawn · DC United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-03 | DC United | 2 – 3 | FC Cincinnati | W |
| 2024-03-10 | FC Cincinnati | 0 – 0 | DC United | D |
| 2023-06-24 | DC United | 3 – 0 | FC Cincinnati | L |
| 2023-05-06 | FC Cincinnati | 2 – 1 | DC United | W |
📈 Recent form
FC Cincinnati come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- WFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- DOrlando City SC 1-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LFC Cincinnati 1-2 AtlasLeagues Cup
DC United come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Charlotte.
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 0-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. DouderaNot in squad
- S. GidiInjury
- A. LajharInjury
- T. BariboKnee Injury
- G. SegalLeg Injury
- K. RowlesThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 56% to win and DC United at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25% | @ 4.60 | +12.9% |
| DC United Win | 20% | @ 5.20 | +2.2% |
| FC Cincinnati Win | 56% | @ 1.52 | -15.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 2.45 (44% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United or Draw | 44% | @ 2.45 | +7.0% |
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 80% | @ 1.15 | -8.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 80% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 62% | @ 1.83 | +12.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | @ 1.32 | +5.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | @ 1.07 | -1.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 38% | @ 1.94 | -25.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | @ 3.30 | -33.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | @ 7.50 | -44.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 72% | @ 1.41 | +1.7% |
| BTTS No | 28% | @ 2.70 | -24.8% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 54% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 58% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 56% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.76 for the home side, 0.95 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 3-2 (6%), 2-2 (6%), 3-1 (5%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 1.83 (+12.6% value).
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.6-1.7 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs DC United.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.56 for FC Cincinnati and 1.70 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Cincinnati and DC United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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