Sun 6 Sep1-3Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City finished 1-3. St. Louis City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Vancouver Whitecaps face St. Louis City in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Vancouver Whitecaps have 3 wins from their last 5, while St. Louis City have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 3, St. Louis City won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

St. Louis City +2 @ 1.36

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.19 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	3.9%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
1	6.4%	8.6%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%
2	7.0%	9.4%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	5.1%	6.9%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.8%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Vancouver Whitecaps winDrawSt. Louis City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is St. Louis City with a +2 start at odds 1.36, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Vancouver Whitecaps 50%Draw 25%St. Louis City 25%

50%25%25%

50%

Vancouver Whitecaps Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City. Wins shown from Vancouver Whitecaps’s perspective: Vancouver Whitecaps 3 · St. Louis City 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Vancouver Whitecaps	1 – 3	St. Louis City	L
2024-07-14	St. Louis City	1 – 4	Vancouver Whitecaps	W
2024-06-30	Vancouver Whitecaps	4 – 3	St. Louis City	W
2023-10-05	Vancouver Whitecaps	3 – 0	St. Louis City	W
2023-05-28	St. Louis City	3 – 1	Vancouver Whitecaps	L

📈 Recent form

Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Real Salt Lake. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at CF Montreal.

WReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
LVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
LVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

St. Louis City

St. Louis City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Colorado Rapids. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
WSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Vancouver Whitecaps

K. G. Cabrera NakamuraFoot Injury
B. HalbouniKnee Injury
E. OcampoConcussion
K. PokuMuscle Injury
R. PrisoAnkle Injury
R. VeselinovicKnee Injury

St. Louis City

P. AultAnkle Injury
Celio PompeuKnee Injury
K. HiebertHip Injury
T. OstrakMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% to win and St. Louis City at 25%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vancouver Whitecaps Win	50%	69%	@ 1.36
Draw	25%	19%	@ 5.00
St. Louis City Win	25%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at 1.09 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw	75%	88%	@ 1.09
St. Louis City or Draw	50%	31%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	85%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	68%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 3.5	53%	53%	@ 1.77
Over 3.5	47%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	32%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	13%	15%	@ 6.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	59%	@ 1.58
BTTS No	34%	41%	@ 2.23

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Vancouver Whitecaps or St. Louis City is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Louis City +2	81%	70%	@ 1.36
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.75	79%	86%	1.10
St. Louis City +1.75	78%	62%	@ 1.53
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5	75%	84%	1.13
St. Louis City +1.5	74%	57%	@ 1.69
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.25	69%	83%	1.15
St. Louis City +1.25	68%	53%	@ 1.82
Vancouver Whitecaps 0	63%	80%	1.20
St. Louis City +1	62%	45%	@ 2.15
Vancouver Whitecaps -0.25	56%	72%	1.33
St. Louis City +0.75	56%	40%	@ 2.40
Vancouver Whitecaps -0.5	50%	65%	1.47
St. Louis City +0.5	50%	35%	@ 2.71
Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75	44%	60%	1.57
St. Louis City +0.25	44%	28%	@ 3.37
Vancouver Whitecaps -1	38%	55%	1.73
St. Louis City 0	37%	20%	@ 4.67
Vancouver Whitecaps -1.25	32%	47%	2.04
St. Louis City -0.25	31%	17%	@ 5.50
Vancouver Whitecaps -1.5	26%	43%	2.21
St. Louis City -0.5	25%	16%	@ 5.90
Vancouver Whitecaps -1.75	23%	38%	2.54
St. Louis City -0.75	21%	14%	@ 7.00
Vancouver Whitecaps -2	19%	30%	3.19

📈 How the market moved

Vancouver Whitecaps 66%Draw 19%St. Louis City 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City?

Our model's main pick is St. Louis City with a +2 start at odds 1.36, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City?

Our model makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.3 scoreline for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City.

What is the predicted score for Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.19 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.34 for St. Louis City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.