⚽ Eredivisie

Telstar vs Cambuur Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Telstar vs Cambuur in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Telstar face Cambuur in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Telstar have 1 win from their last 3, while Cambuur have 0 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Telstar vs Cambuur with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.52

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 1.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	4.9%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%
1	5.6%	9.1%	7.5%	4.1%	1.7%
2	5.2%	8.6%	7.0%	3.8%	1.6%
3	3.3%	5.4%	4.4%	2.4%	1.0%
4	1.5%	2.5%	2.1%	1.1%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

Telstar winDrawCambuur win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Telstar vs Cambuur is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Telstar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Cambuur or Draw at odds 2.28 (+15.9% model value).

Best value

Cambuur or Draw at odds 2.28, 51% model probability, +15.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Telstar 48%Draw 28%Cambuur 24%

48%28%24%

48%

Telstar Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+15.9%

Best value: Cambuur or Draw

📈 Recent form

Telstar

Telstar come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 6-3 at De Graafschap. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Ajax.

LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie
LTelstar 1-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
WNEC Nijmegen 1-2 TelstarEredivisie
LVfL Wolfsburg 3-1 TelstarFriendlies Clubs
WDe Graafschap 3-6 TelstarFriendlies Clubs

Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 19. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.

LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 3-1 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 0-4 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LBologna 3-1 CambuurFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Telstar

M. PeersmanInjury

Cambuur

D. VisserKnee Injury
J. BerkhoutInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Telstar at 48% to win and Cambuur at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	28%	@ 4.20	+18.4%
Cambuur Win	24%	@ 4.90	+18.2%
Telstar Win	48%	@ 1.58	-24.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 2.28 (51% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cambuur or Draw	51%	@ 2.28	+15.9%
Telstar or Draw	74%	@ 1.16	-13.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	47%	@ 2.30	+7.6%
Over 2.5	68%	@ 1.52	+3.8%
Over 1.5	87%	@ 1.14	-1.3%
Under 3.5	53%	@ 1.61	-14.3%
Under 2.5	32%	@ 2.50	-20.7%
Under 1.5	13%	@ 5.40	-27.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	@ 1.55	+5.7%
BTTS No	32%	@ 2.30	-26.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%
GradientBoosting	Home	49%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.58 for the home side, 1.06 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Telstar vs Cambuur?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Cambuur or Draw at 2.28 (+15.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Cambuur?

Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline for Telstar vs Cambuur.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Cambuur?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Telstar and 1.64 for Cambuur. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Telstar and Cambuur play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.