St Johnstone vs Hibernian Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Johnstone vs Hibernian in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian

St Johnstone vs Hibernian finished 2-1. St Johnstone won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St Johnstone face Hibernian in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: St Johnstone have 1 win from their last 3, while Hibernian have 3 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Johnstone vs Hibernian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.31 – 1.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	8.6%	7.1%	3.9%	1.6%
1	6.8%	11.2%	9.2%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.4%	7.3%	6.1%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.9%	3.2%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

St Johnstone winDrawHibernian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Hibernian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Hibernian. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Celtic.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership
LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 St JohnstonePremiership

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Kilmarnock.

DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup
LSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
LHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hibernian or Draw at 1.45 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hibernian or Draw	70%	65%	@ 1.45
St Johnstone or Draw	56%	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	66%	70%	@ 1.34
Over 2.5	57%	52%	@ 1.81
Under 2.5	43%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 3.5	34%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	20%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	57%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	41%	43%	@ 2.14

📈 How the market moved

St Johnstone 34%Draw 29%Hibernian 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.31 for St Johnstone and 1.65 for Hibernian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Johnstone and Hibernian play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.