⚽ Serie A

Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs AC Milan in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Juventus face AC Milan in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 3 wins from their last 5, while AC Milan have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, 4 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs AC Milan with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.27

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	8.9%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.2%	12.6%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.9%	8.9%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.7%	4.2%	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Juventus winDrawAC Milan win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs AC Milan is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is AC Milan or Draw at odds 1.74 (+0.7% model value).

Best value

AC Milan or Draw at odds 1.74, 58% model probability, +0.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 40%Draw 30%AC Milan 30%

40%30%30%

40%

Juventus Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+0.7%

Best value: AC Milan or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Juventus and AC Milan. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 1 · 4 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-26	AC Milan	0 – 0	Juventus	D
2025-10-05	Juventus	0 – 0	AC Milan	D
2025-01-18	Juventus	2 – 0	AC Milan	W
2024-11-23	AC Milan	0 – 0	Juventus	D
2024-04-27	Juventus	0 – 0	AC Milan	D

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Parma. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Inter.

WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A
WFrosinone 0-1 JuventusSerie A
WJuventus 2-0 PalermoFriendlies Clubs
LJuventus 1-2 InterFriendlies Clubs
WChelsea 0-1 JuventusFriendlies Clubs

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Venezia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Chelsea.

WAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A
WTorino 1-2 AC MilanSerie A
WManchester United 2-4 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
LChelsea 3-0 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
DAC Milan 1-1 InterFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Juventus

J. CabalThigh Injury
J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
K. ThuramKnee Injury
K. YildizFoot Injury
A. CambiasoAnkle Injury
W. McKennieMuscle Injury
E. ZhegrovaMuscle Injury

AC Milan

M. GabbiaAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 40% to win and AC Milan at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
AC Milan Win	30%	@ 3.55	+6.4%
Draw	30%	@ 3.30	-2.3%
Juventus Win	40%	@ 2.04	-17.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AC Milan or Draw at 1.74 (58% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
AC Milan or Draw	58%	@ 1.74	+0.7%
Juventus or Draw	68%	@ 1.28	-12.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.27	-4.6%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.32	-5.1%
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.77	-5.1%
Over 2.5	46%	@ 2.04	-5.4%
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.30	-7.2%
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.60	-10.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.94	-4.3%
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.81	-8.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Home	42%
GradientBoosting	Home	38%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.41 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 0-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs AC Milan?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is AC Milan or Draw at 1.74 (+0.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs AC Milan?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Juventus vs AC Milan.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs AC Milan?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Juventus and 1.12 for AC Milan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and AC Milan play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.