⚽ La Liga
Espanyol vs Sevilla Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Espanyol vs Sevilla in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla
Espanyol vs Sevilla finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Espanyol face Sevilla in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Espanyol have 1 win from their last 3, while Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Espanyol won 1, Sevilla won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Espanyol vs Sevilla with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Espanyol vs Sevilla comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.46, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Espanyol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Espanyol and Sevilla. Wins shown from Espanyol’s perspective: Espanyol 1 · 2 drawn · Sevilla 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Espanyol | 1 – 1 | Sevilla | D |
| 2026-05-09 | Sevilla | 2 – 1 | Espanyol | L |
| 2025-11-24 | Espanyol | 2 – 1 | Sevilla | W |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | 1 – 1 | Espanyol | D |
| 2024-10-25 | Espanyol | 0 – 2 | Sevilla | L |
📈 Recent form
Espanyol come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Osasuna. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Elche.
- LEspanyol 1-3 ElcheLa Liga
- LRayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
- WOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
- DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
- LReal Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
Sevilla come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Deportivo La Coruña. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Barcelona.
- LSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
- WDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
- WSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
- DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
- LSevilla 1-3 Atlético MadridLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. GarciaHamstring Injury
- A. GorosabelInjury
- J. PuadoKnee Injury
- MarcaoFoot Injury
- R. VargasKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Espanyol at 39% to win and Sevilla at 31%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol Win | 39% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Sevilla Win | 31% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Espanyol or Draw at 1.30 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol or Draw | 67% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Sevilla or Draw | 59% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Espanyol or Sevilla is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol +1.5 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sevilla +1.75 | 84% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Espanyol +1.25 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sevilla +1.5 | 81% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Espanyol +1 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sevilla +1.25 | 76% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Espanyol +0.75 | 72% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Sevilla +1 | 70% | 75% | 1.28 |
| Espanyol +0.5 | 67% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Sevilla +0.75 | 65% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Espanyol +0.25 | 60% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Sevilla +0.5 | 59% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Espanyol 0 | 54% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Sevilla +0.25 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.92 |
| Espanyol -0.25 | 47% | 49% | 1.96 |
| Sevilla 0 | 46% | 40% | @ 2.39 |
| Espanyol -0.5 | 41% | 42% | 2.27 |
| Sevilla -0.25 | 40% | 33% | @ 2.89 |
| Espanyol -0.75 | 35% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Sevilla -0.5 | 33% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Espanyol -1 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Sevilla -0.75 | 28% | 22% | @ 4.36 |
| Espanyol -1.25 | 24% | 23% | @ 4.24 |
| Sevilla -1 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Espanyol -1.5 | 19% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Sevilla -1.25 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Espanyol -1.75 | 16% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Sevilla -1.5 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Espanyol vs Sevilla?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.46, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Sevilla?
Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Espanyol vs Sevilla.
What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Sevilla?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Espanyol and 1.26 for Sevilla. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Espanyol and Sevilla play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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