Sun 6 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Botafogo vs Palmeiras Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Botafogo vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Botafogo 0-0 Palmeiras

Botafogo vs Palmeiras finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Botafogo face Palmeiras in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Botafogo have 1 win from their last 5, while Palmeiras have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 3, Palmeiras won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Botafogo vs Palmeiras with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.22 – 1.43 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	10.1%	7.2%	3.4%	1.2%
1	8.6%	12.3%	8.8%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.3%	7.5%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.1%	3.1%	2.2%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Botafogo winDrawPalmeiras win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Botafogo vs Palmeiras comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Palmeiras win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Botafogo 30%Draw 29%Palmeiras 41%

30%29%41%

41%

Palmeiras Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Botafogo and Palmeiras. Wins shown from Botafogo’s perspective: Botafogo 3 · 1 drawn · Palmeiras 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Botafogo	0 – 0	Palmeiras	D
2024-11-27	Palmeiras	1 – 3	Botafogo	W
2024-07-18	Botafogo	1 – 0	Palmeiras	W
2023-11-02	Botafogo	3 – 4	Palmeiras	L
2023-06-25	Palmeiras	0 – 1	Botafogo	W

📈 Recent form

Botafogo

Botafogo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Grêmio. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mirassol.

LMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
WBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A

Palmeiras

Palmeiras come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to São Paulo. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at LDU de Quito.

DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LLDU de Quito 3-2 PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores
WPalmeiras 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
WPalmeiras 1-0 LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores
DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Botafogo

J. BarreraInjury
Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
PaulinhoInjury

Palmeiras

Arthur GabrielSuspended (red card)
JefteKnee Injury
PaulinhoMuscle Injury
R. SosaMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Botafogo at 30% to win and Palmeiras at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras Win	41%	43%	@ 2.20
Botafogo Win	30%	29%	@ 3.30
Draw	29%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.30 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras or Draw	69%	71%	@ 1.30
Botafogo or Draw	57%	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	51%	49%	@ 1.95
Over 2.5	49%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	28%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	46%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Botafogo or Palmeiras is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras +1.5	87%	86%	1.10
Botafogo +1.75	83%	83%	1.15
Palmeiras +1.25	83%	85%	1.12
Botafogo +1.5	80%	76%	1.24
Palmeiras +1	78%	84%	1.13
Botafogo +1.25	74%	75%	1.27
Palmeiras +0.75	73%	77%	1.24
Palmeiras +0.5	69%	70%	1.35
Botafogo +1	68%	72%	1.32
Botafogo +0.75	63%	64%	1.50
Palmeiras +0.25	62%	66%	1.44
Botafogo +0.5	57%	57%	1.68
Palmeiras 0	56%	60%	1.59
Botafogo +0.25	51%	50%	1.94
Palmeiras -0.25	49%	50%	1.93
Botafogo 0	44%	40%	@ 2.38
Palmeiras -0.5	43%	43%	2.21
Botafogo -0.25	38%	34%	@ 2.81
Palmeiras -0.75	37%	36%	2.62
Palmeiras -1	32%	28%	@ 3.44
Botafogo -0.5	31%	30%	3.19
Botafogo -0.75	27%	23%	@ 4.11
Palmeiras -1.25	26%	25%	3.79
Botafogo -1	22%	16%	@ 5.90
Palmeiras -1.5	20%	24%	4.04
Botafogo -1.25	17%	15%	@ 6.40
Palmeiras -1.75	17%	17%	5.50
Botafogo -1.5	13%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Botafogo 29%Draw 28%Palmeiras 43%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?

Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Botafogo vs Palmeiras.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Botafogo and 1.43 for Palmeiras. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Botafogo and Palmeiras play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.