vs
⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs OH Leuven Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gent vs OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Gent 1-0 OH Leuven
Gent vs OH Leuven finished 1-0. Gent won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, OH Leuven Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.34, landed.
Gent face OH Leuven in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Gent have 2 wins from their last 5, while OH Leuven have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Gent won 2, OH Leuven won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Gent win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gent vs OH Leuven with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Gent vs OH Leuven is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is OH Leuven Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Gent win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is OH Leuven or Draw at odds 2.38 (+19.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Gent and OH Leuven. Wins shown from Gent’s perspective: Gent 2 · 1 drawn · OH Leuven 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Gent | 1 – 0 | OH Leuven | W |
| 2025-01-26 | OH Leuven | 0 – 0 | Gent | D |
| 2024-09-29 | Gent | 3 – 0 | OH Leuven | W |
| 2024-05-12 | Gent | 0 – 1 | OH Leuven | L |
| 2024-04-14 | OH Leuven | 2 – 1 | Gent | L |
📈 Recent form
Gent come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to OH Leuven.
- WGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- WGent 2-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- WHibernian 2-3 GentUEFA Europa Conference
- DGent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference
- WRAAL La Louvière 1-2 GentJupiler Pro League
OH Leuven come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Gent.
- LGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- LOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- LOH Leuven 0-3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- LCharleroi 3-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- LOH Leuven 3-6 LilleFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Gent at 48% to win and OH Leuven at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Gent win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven Win | 24% | @ 5.75 | +36.8% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.90 | +9.4% |
| Gent Win | 48% | @ 1.55 | -25.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is OH Leuven or Draw at 2.38 (50% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven or Draw | 50% | @ 2.38 | +19.9% |
| Gent or Draw | 75% | @ 1.13 | -15.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 29% | @ 4.20 | +21.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | @ 2.07 | +13.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 76% | @ 1.41 | +7.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | @ 1.21 | -14.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | @ 1.71 | -22.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | @ 2.85 | -31.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | @ 1.92 | -2.7% |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | @ 1.76 | -13.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gent or OH Leuven is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven 0 | 38% | @ 4.00 | +51.6% |
| OH Leuven -0.75 | 21% | @ 6.80 | +45.2% |
| OH Leuven -0.25 | 32% | @ 4.57 | +44.3% |
| OH Leuven -0.5 | 25% | @ 5.25 | +32.9% |
| OH Leuven +0.25 | 44% | @ 2.83 | +24.8% |
| OH Leuven +0.75 | 56% | @ 2.06 | +16.0% |
| OH Leuven +0.5 | 50% | @ 2.30 | +16.0% |
| OH Leuven +1 | 62% | @ 1.79 | +11.7% |
| OH Leuven +1.5 | 74% | @ 1.48 | +10.0% |
| OH Leuven +1.25 | 68% | @ 1.60 | +9.1% |
| OH Leuven +1.75 | 78% | @ 1.34 | +4.4% |
| OH Leuven +2 | 82% | 1.22 | -0.3% |
| Gent +0.5 | 75% | 1.16 | -13.4% |
| Gent +0.75 | 79% | 1.10 | -13.5% |
| Gent +0.25 | 68% | 1.20 | -17.9% |
| Gent -2 | 18% | 4.37 | -20.2% |
| Gent -0.25 | 56% | 1.43 | -20.4% |
| Gent -0.5 | 50% | 1.58 | -21.4% |
| Gent -0.75 | 44% | 1.78 | -22.0% |
| Gent 0 | 62% | 1.25 | -22.3% |
| Gent -1 | 38% | 2.02 | -23.7% |
| Gent -1.25 | 32% | 2.37 | -24.8% |
| Gent -1.75 | 22% | 3.29 | -27.5% |
| Gent -1.5 | 26% | 2.59 | -33.2% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gent vs OH Leuven?
Our main pick is OH Leuven Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is OH Leuven or Draw at 2.38 (+19.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Gent vs OH Leuven?
Our model makes a Gent win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Gent vs OH Leuven.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs OH Leuven?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Gent and 0.98 for OH Leuven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Gent and OH Leuven play?
Kick-off is Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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