⚽ Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Heart Of Midlothian face Dundee in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins from their last 5, while Dundee have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 2.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.71

60%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 1.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
1	9.2%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.6%	9.9%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.7%	7.0%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Heart Of Midlothian winDrawDundee win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.71, the selection our model is most confident in at 60%. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.71, 60% model probability, +3.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Heart Of Midlothian 60%Draw 19%Dundee 21%

60%19%21%

60%

Heart Of Midlothian Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+3.5%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Inverness CT. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstonePremiership
DRapid Vienna 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference
DHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference
WHeart Of Midlothian 6-2 Inverness CTLeague Cup

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Dundee Utd. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hibernian.

DDundee 1-1 ST JohnstonePremiership
LDundee 1-2 HibernianPremiership
WDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership
LAberdeen 3-0 DundeeLeague Cup
WDundee 2-0 AberdeenPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heart Of Midlothian at 60% to win and Dundee at 21%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dundee Win	21%	@ 5.40	+14.7%
Heart Of Midlothian Win	60%	@ 1.54	-7.6%
Draw	19%	@ 3.95	-25.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee or Draw at 2.38 (42% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dundee or Draw	42%	@ 2.38	+0.3%
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	81%	@ 1.13	-8.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.80	+6.9%
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.71	+3.5%
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.21	-0.9%
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.41	-12.8%
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.06	-18.7%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 4.10	-25.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.94	-4.6%
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.75	-11.0%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	82%
Dixon-Coles	Home	38%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.80 for the home side, 0.93 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.71, with 60% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.0 scoreline for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.03 for Dundee. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.