Sun 6 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 Dundee

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee finished 2-1. Heart Of Midlothian won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Heart Of Midlothian face Dundee in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins from their last 5, while Dundee have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Heart Of Midlothian Win @ 1.54
68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.31 – 0.95 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
2 10.2% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3%
3 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-0
Heart Of Midlothian winDrawDundee win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is a Heart Of Midlothian win at odds 1.54, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Heart Of Midlothian 68%Draw 17%Dundee 16%
68%17%16%
68%
Heart Of Midlothian Win
63%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stenhousemuir. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.

  • DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
  • LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
  • WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
  • WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
  • WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Dundee Utd. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Heart Of Midlothian.

  • WDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
  • LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
  • DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • LDundee 1-2 HibernianPremiership
  • WDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heart Of Midlothian at 68% to win and Dundee at 16%, with the draw at 17%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Heart Of Midlothian Win 68% 60% @ 1.54
Draw 17% 23% @ 3.95
Dundee Win 16% 17% @ 5.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.13 (86% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw 86% 83% @ 1.13
Dundee or Draw 34% 40% @ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 77% @ 1.21
Over 2.5 63% 55% @ 1.71
Under 3.5 59% 67% @ 1.41
Over 3.5 41% 33% @ 2.80
Under 2.5 37% 45% @ 2.06
Under 1.5 16% 23% @ 4.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 53% 53% @ 1.75
BTTS No 47% 47% @ 1.94

📈 How the market moved

11%39%67%09/0209/0309/0409/0509/06

Heart Of Midlothian 63%Draw 22%Dundee 15%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Our model's main pick is a Heart Of Midlothian win at odds 1.54, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.31 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.95 for Dundee. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.