⚽ La Liga

Getafe vs Celta Vigo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Celta Vigo in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Getafe face Celta Vigo in the La Liga, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 3, while Celta Vigo have 0 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Getafe won 2, Celta Vigo won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Celta Vigo with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.62

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.06 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	12.7%	7.1%	2.6%	0.7%
1	12.0%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	0.8%
2	6.4%	7.1%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.2%	2.5%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-1

Getafe winDrawCelta Vigo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Getafe vs Celta Vigo is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates a Getafe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points no (56%).

Best value

Over 1.5 at odds 1.62, 64% model probability, +3.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Getafe 35%Draw 31%Celta Vigo 34%

35%31%34%

35%

Getafe Win

63%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

+3.8%

Best value: Over 1.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Getafe and Celta Vigo. Wins shown from Getafe’s perspective: Getafe 2 · 1 drawn · Celta Vigo 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	Getafe	0 – 0	Celta Vigo	D
2025-08-17	Celta Vigo	0 – 2	Getafe	W
2025-05-24	Getafe	1 – 2	Celta Vigo	L
2024-11-04	Celta Vigo	1 – 0	Getafe	L
2024-02-11	Getafe	3 – 2	Celta Vigo	W

📈 Recent form

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FK Partizan. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Osasuna.

LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
LFK Partizan 2-1 GetafeUEFA Europa Conference
WGetafe 1-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WGetafe 3-1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference
LAlaves 3-0 GetafeLa Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Athletic Club.

DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
DNapoli 1-1 Celta VigoFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Getafe

JuanmiInjury
C. UcheKnee Injury
A. AbqarInjury
A. GarciaInjury
M. MartinInjury

Celta Vigo

A. FebasRibs Injury
B. IglesiasMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Getafe at 35% to win and Celta Vigo at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Celta Vigo Win	34%	@ 3.35	+14.3%
Draw	31%	@ 2.85	-11.4%
Getafe Win	35%	@ 2.43	-15.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.54 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Celta Vigo or Draw	63%	@ 1.54	-3.1%
Getafe or Draw	64%	@ 1.30	-17.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	18%	@ 6.25	+10.5%
Over 2.5	37%	@ 2.90	+7.9%
Over 1.5	64%	@ 1.62	+3.8%
Under 3.5	82%	@ 1.11	-8.6%
Under 2.5	63%	@ 1.40	-12.1%
Under 1.5	36%	@ 2.28	-18.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.23	-2.5%
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.60	-9.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	36%
Dixon-Coles	Away	39%
GradientBoosting	Home	36%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.30 for the home side, 1.29 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 64% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Celta Vigo.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.06 for Getafe and 1.12 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Getafe and Celta Vigo play?

Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.