Mon 7 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs Lazio in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Udinese 1-2 Lazio

Udinese vs Lazio finished 1-2. Lazio won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Udinese face Lazio in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Udinese have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lazio have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, Lazio won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.1-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs Lazio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lazio +0.75 @ 1.30

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.05 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	12.5%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
1	10.3%	13.1%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.4%	6.9%	4.4%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.9%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Udinese winDrawLazio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Udinese vs Lazio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lazio with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lazio win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Udinese 29%Draw 30%Lazio 41%

29%30%41%

41%

Lazio Win

59%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Udinese and Lazio. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 1 · 3 drawn · Lazio 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-07	Udinese	1 – 2	Lazio	L
2026-04-27	Lazio	3 – 3	Udinese	D
2025-12-27	Udinese	1 – 1	Lazio	D
2025-03-10	Lazio	1 – 1	Udinese	D
2024-08-24	Udinese	2 – 1	Lazio	W

📈 Recent form

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.

LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A

Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Venezia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A
WUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WLazio 1-0 GenoaSerie A
WBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Udinese

J. ArizalaThigh Injury
M. PalmaMuscle Injury
N. ZanioloThigh Injury
A. ZanoliKnee Injury

Lazio

D. CataldiGroin Injury
F. Dele-BashiruMuscle Injury
A. FurlanettoKnee Injury
A. MarusicMuscle Injury
PatricAnkle Injury
L. PellegriniInjury
N. RovellaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Udinese at 29% to win and Lazio at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio Win	41%	38%	@ 2.45
Draw	30%	30%	@ 3.05
Udinese Win	29%	32%	@ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lazio or Draw at 1.37 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio or Draw	69%	68%	@ 1.37
Udinese or Draw	57%	62%	@ 1.52

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	80%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	67%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	59%	57%	@ 1.65
Over 2.5	41%	43%	@ 2.23
Under 1.5	33%	32%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	20%	23%	@ 4.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	50%	@ 1.88
BTTS Yes	47%	50%	@ 1.86

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Udinese or Lazio is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio +1.5	87%	85%	1.12
Lazio +1.25	83%	83%	1.14
Udinese +1.5	80%	83%	1.14
Lazio +1	78%	–	1.17
Udinese +1.25	74%	82%	1.16
Lazio +0.75	74%	73%	1.30
Lazio +0.5	69%	67%	1.43
Udinese +1	68%	–	1.20
Udinese +0.75	63%	72%	1.33
Lazio +0.25	62%	60%	1.58
Udinese +0.5	57%	64%	1.50
Lazio 0	56%	52%	@ 1.86
Udinese +0.25	51%	57%	1.67
Lazio -0.25	49%	43%	@ 2.25
Udinese 0	44%	48%	2.02
Lazio -0.5	43%	36%	@ 2.67
Udinese -0.25	38%	40%	2.42
Lazio -0.75	37%	28%	@ 3.35
Udinese -0.5	31%	33%	2.85
Udinese -0.75	26%	27%	3.60
Lazio -1.25	26%	18%	@ 5.25
Lazio -1.5	20%	17%	@ 5.75
Udinese -1.25	17%	17%	5.75
Udinese -1.5	13%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Udinese 33%Draw 31%Lazio 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Udinese vs Lazio?

Our model's main pick is Lazio with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Lazio?

Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline for Udinese vs Lazio.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.05 for Udinese and 1.27 for Lazio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Udinese and Lazio play?

Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.