Sat 5 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Championship

Portsmouth vs Cardiff Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs Cardiff in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Portsmouth 2-0 Cardiff

Portsmouth vs Cardiff finished 2-0. Portsmouth won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Portsmouth face Cardiff in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Portsmouth have 1 win from their last 3, while Cardiff have no wins from their last 3. In their last 3 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Cardiff won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs Cardiff with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Portsmouth +0.75 @ 1.29

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.75 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	6.3%	3.8%	1.5%	0.5%
1	9.2%	11.0%	6.6%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.6%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.7%	5.6%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.0%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Portsmouth winDrawCardiff win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Cardiff comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Portsmouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Portsmouth 50%Draw 27%Cardiff 23%

50%27%23%

50%

Portsmouth Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Portsmouth and Cardiff. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Portsmouth 2 · Cardiff 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	Portsmouth	2 – 0	Cardiff	W
2025-02-11	Portsmouth	2 – 1	Cardiff	W
2024-10-22	Cardiff	2 – 0	Portsmouth	L

📈 Recent form

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Derby.

DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship
LBristol City 2-1 PortsmouthChampionship

Cardiff

Cardiff come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bolton.

WCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
LBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
LPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Portsmouth

K. AndersonMuscle Injury
J. FarrellGroin Injury
M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
J. MurphyInjury
C. OgilvieKnee Injury
F. UmehHamstring Injury
T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury

Cardiff

C. ChambersKnee Injury
W. FishHernia
D. LawlorMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portsmouth at 50% to win and Cardiff at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth Win	50%	41%	@ 2.28
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.40
Cardiff Win	23%	32%	@ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.38 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth or Draw	76%	68%	@ 1.38
Cardiff or Draw	49%	59%	@ 1.60

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	76%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	68%	@ 1.37
Over 2.5	56%	53%	@ 1.76
Under 2.5	44%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	34%	32%	@ 2.90
Under 1.5	21%	24%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	58%	@ 1.60
BTTS No	42%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portsmouth or Cardiff is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth +1.5	91%	84%	@ 1.13
Portsmouth +1.25	87%	83%	@ 1.15
Portsmouth +1	83%	81%	1.19
Portsmouth +0.75	80%	73%	@ 1.29
Cardiff +1.75	77%	84%	1.13
Portsmouth +0.5	76%	67%	@ 1.42
Cardiff +1.5	73%	79%	1.20
Portsmouth +0.25	70%	62%	@ 1.53
Cardiff +1.25	67%	77%	1.24
Portsmouth 0	63%	55%	@ 1.74
Cardiff +1	61%	74%	1.28
Portsmouth -0.25	57%	47%	@ 2.07
Cardiff +0.75	55%	66%	1.44
Portsmouth -0.5	51%	41%	@ 2.35
Cardiff +0.5	49%	59%	1.61
Portsmouth -0.75	45%	34%	@ 2.81
Cardiff +0.25	43%	53%	1.80
Portsmouth -1	39%	26%	@ 3.67
Cardiff 0	37%	45%	2.12
Portsmouth -1.25	33%	23%	@ 4.12
Cardiff -0.25	30%	38%	2.50
Portsmouth -1.5	27%	21%	@ 4.40
Cardiff -0.5	24%	33%	2.85
Portsmouth -1.75	23%	16%	@ 5.90
Cardiff -0.75	20%	27%	3.55
Cardiff -1	17%	19%	4.92
Cardiff -1.25	13%	17%	5.50
Cardiff -1.5	9%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Portsmouth 40%Draw 27%Cardiff 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Cardiff?

Our model's main pick is Portsmouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Cardiff?

Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Portsmouth vs Cardiff.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Cardiff?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Portsmouth and 1.20 for Cardiff. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portsmouth and Cardiff play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.