⚽ Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Estac Troyes face Strasbourg in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.26

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	7.0%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%
1	8.5%	11.3%	7.5%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.1%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.7%	4.9%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Estac Troyes winDrawStrasbourg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.88 (+6.3% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.88, 57% model probability, +6.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Estac Troyes 24%Draw 38%Strasbourg 39%

24%38%39%

39%

Strasbourg Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

+6.3%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Chasselay MDA.

WLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 1-1 PanetolikosFriendlies Clubs
DAuxerre 1-1 Estac TroyesFriendlies Clubs
WEstac Troyes 5-2 Chasselay MDAFriendlies Clubs

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lens. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Marseille.

WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
DNewcastle 1-1 StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs
LSC Freiburg 2-0 StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs
LStrasbourg 2-5 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Estac Troyes

I. BouraInjury
P. GozziMuscle Injury
Y. TitiInjury

Strasbourg

S. El MourabetSuspended (red card)
M. GodoMuscle Injury
M. OyedeleInjury
J. PanichelliKnee Injury
I. DoukoureInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Estac Troyes at 24% to win and Strasbourg at 39%, with the draw at 38%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	38%	@ 3.30	+24.1%
Strasbourg Win	39%	@ 2.28	-11.3%
Estac Troyes Win	24%	@ 3.00	-29.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.37 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Strasbourg or Draw	71%	@ 1.37	-3.2%
Estac Troyes or Draw	55%	@ 1.58	-12.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	34%	@ 3.20	+9.3%
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.88	+6.3%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.26	-0.1%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.34	-11.8%
Under 2.5	43%	@ 1.91	-17.0%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 3.70	-23.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.67	-1.6%
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.10	-13.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%
GradientBoosting	Draw	42%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.14 for the home side, 1.47 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.88 (+6.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg.

What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Estac Troyes and 1.33 for Strasbourg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Estac Troyes and Strasbourg play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.