⚽ Ligue 1
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Result: Estac Troyes 2-6 Strasbourg
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg finished 2-6. Strasbourg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Estac Troyes face Strasbourg in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Estac Troyes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Angers.
- LAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- LLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- LEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
- WLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1
Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Paris FC.
- LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
- WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
- LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. BouraInjury
- P. GozziMuscle Injury
- Y. TitiInjury
- S. El MourabetSuspended (red card)
- M. GodoMuscle Injury
- M. OyedeleInjury
- J. PanichelliKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Estac Troyes at 24% to win and Strasbourg at 39%, with the draw at 38%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg Win | 39% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 38% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Estac Troyes Win | 24% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.37 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg or Draw | 71% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Estac Troyes or Draw | 55% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% | @ 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Estac Troyes or Strasbourg is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg +1.5 | 88% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Strasbourg +1.25 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Estac Troyes +1.75 | 81% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Strasbourg +1 | 80% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Estac Troyes +1.5 | 78% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Strasbourg +0.75 | 75% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Estac Troyes +1.25 | 72% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Strasbourg +0.5 | 71% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Estac Troyes +1 | 67% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Strasbourg +0.25 | 64% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Estac Troyes +0.75 | 61% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Strasbourg 0 | 58% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Estac Troyes +0.5 | 55% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Strasbourg -0.25 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.07 |
| Estac Troyes +0.25 | 49% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Strasbourg -0.5 | 45% | 41% | @ 2.36 |
| Estac Troyes 0 | 42% | 45% | 2.15 |
| Strasbourg -0.75 | 39% | 34% | @ 2.83 |
| Estac Troyes -0.25 | 36% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Strasbourg -1 | 33% | 26% | @ 3.72 |
| Estac Troyes -0.5 | 29% | 32% | 2.93 |
| Strasbourg -1.25 | 28% | 23% | @ 4.24 |
| Estac Troyes -0.75 | 25% | 26% | 3.67 |
| Strasbourg -1.5 | 22% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Estac Troyes -1 | 20% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Strasbourg -1.75 | 19% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Estac Troyes -1.25 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Estac Troyes -1.5 | 12% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Estac Troyes and 1.33 for Strasbourg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Estac Troyes and Strasbourg play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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