Sun 6 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Corinthians vs Chapecoense Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Corinthians vs Chapecoense in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Corinthians 1-2 Chapecoense

Corinthians vs Chapecoense finished 1-2. Chapecoense won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Corinthians face Chapecoense in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Corinthians have 1 win from their last 5, while Chapecoense have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Corinthians vs Chapecoense with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.95 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	5.2%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.7%	10.1%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.4%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	7.4%	6.4%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.6%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Corinthians winDrawChapecoense win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Chapecoense comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Corinthians win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Corinthians 61%Draw 25%Chapecoense 14%

61%25%14%

61%

Corinthians Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Corinthians

Corinthians come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Fluminense.

LCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
LCorinthians 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores
LFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
DEstudiantes L.P. 1-1 CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
LCorinthians 1-2 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A

Chapecoense

Chapecoense come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Corinthians. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Internacional.

DAtlético Mineiro 1-1 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
LChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WCorinthians 1-2 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
LGrêmio 3-1 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
WChapecoense 1-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Corinthians

AndreMuscle Injury
Andre RamalhoNot in squad
Gabriel PaulistaSuspended (cards)
Hugo SouzaSuspended (cards)
KaykeKnee Injury
Z. LabyadKnee Injury
RanieleSuspended (cards)
RanieleSuspended (red card)

Chapecoense

Bruno PachecoSuspended (cards)
Bruno TubaraoNot in squad
Joao PauloHealth problems
Max AlvesInjury
Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
Vinicius BalieiroNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Corinthians at 61% to win and Chapecoense at 14%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians Win	61%	67%	@ 1.40
Draw	25%	21%	@ 4.50
Chapecoense Win	14%	12%	@ 8.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Corinthians or Draw at 1.08 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians or Draw	84%	88%	@ 1.08
Chapecoense or Draw	37%	33%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	69%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	53%	49%	@ 1.95
Under 2.5	47%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	31%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	23%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	42%	@ 2.20
BTTS No	50%	58%	@ 1.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Corinthians or Chapecoense is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians +0.25	79%	86%	1.10
Corinthians 0	73%	85%	1.12
Chapecoense +2	72%	72%	1.32
Corinthians -0.25	68%	–	1.25
Chapecoense +1.75	67%	63%	@ 1.51
Corinthians -0.5	63%	69%	1.38
Chapecoense +1.5	62%	56%	@ 1.69
Corinthians -0.75	56%	65%	1.48
Chapecoense +1.25	56%	50%	@ 1.92
Corinthians -1	50%	59%	1.62
Chapecoense +1	50%	41%	@ 2.31
Corinthians -1.25	44%	50%	1.95
Chapecoense +0.75	44%	35%	@ 2.69
Corinthians -1.5	38%	44%	2.19
Chapecoense +0.5	37%	31%	@ 3.09
Corinthians -1.75	33%	37%	2.56
Corinthians -2	28%	28%	3.37
Chapecoense 0	27%	15%	@ 6.25
Chapecoense -0.25	21%	14%	@ 7.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Chapecoense?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Chapecoense?

Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Corinthians vs Chapecoense.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Chapecoense?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Corinthians and 0.86 for Chapecoense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Corinthians and Chapecoense play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.