vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Chicago Fire face Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 3 wins from their last 5, while Inter Miami have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Chicago Fire won 2, Inter Miami won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.9-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Inter Miami or Draw at odds 1.60, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (74%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Chicago Fire 2 · Inter Miami 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami | 3 – 2 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2024-09-01 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 4 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2024-07-20 | Inter Miami | 2 – 1 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2023-10-05 | Chicago Fire | 4 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2023-03-25 | Inter Miami | 2 – 3 | Chicago Fire | W |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Monterrey.
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LMonterrey 2-1 Chicago FireLeagues Cup
- DNew York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 7-1 at home to CF Montreal. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Toronto FC.
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 7-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LInter Miami 1-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BambaLower-Body Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- G. LujanLeg Injury
- MicaelInjury
- S. MoralesMuscle Injury
- S. ReguilonInjury
- M. SilvettiInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 28% to win and Inter Miami at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 48% | @ 2.55 | +22.0% |
| Draw | 24% | @ 4.10 | -2.1% |
| Chicago Fire Win | 28% | @ 2.28 | -35.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.60 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 73% | @ 1.60 | +16.1% |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 53% | @ 1.48 | -21.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 78% | @ 1.23 | -4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | @ 1.04 | -4.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | @ 1.62 | -4.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 41% | @ 2.25 | -7.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | @ 3.95 | -12.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | @ 9.00 | -24.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 26% | @ 3.65 | -5.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 74% | @ 1.24 | -8.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Away | 42% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 51% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 49% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.10 for the home side, 1.52 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-2 (6%), 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Our main pick is Inter Miami or Draw at odds 1.60, with 73% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Chicago Fire and 2.25 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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