⚽ Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SC Freiburg face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Freiburg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.53

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	5.1%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%
1	6.7%	9.7%	7.0%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.4%	9.2%	6.6%	3.2%	1.1%
3	4.1%	5.8%	4.2%	2.0%	0.7%
4	1.9%	2.8%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

SC Freiburg winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a SC Freiburg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.57 (+1.9% model value).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.57, 65% model probability, +1.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

SC Freiburg 52%Draw 27%Borussia Mönchengladbach 22%

52%27%22%

52%

SC Freiburg Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

+1.9%

Best value: BTTS Yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from SC Freiburg’s perspective: SC Freiburg 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-22	SC Freiburg	2 – 1	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W
2025-10-05	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 – 0	SC Freiburg	D
2025-04-12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1 – 2	SC Freiburg	W
2024-11-30	SC Freiburg	3 – 1	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W
2024-03-30	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 – 3	SC Freiburg	W

📈 Recent form

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Fortuna Düsseldorf. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WSC Freiburg 4-1 MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference
WFortuna Düsseldorf 1-5 SC FreiburgDFB Pokal
WMotherwell 1-3 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at SSVg Velbert. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to SV Elversberg.

LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
WSchott Mainz 0-5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
WSSVg Velbert 0-8 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

SC Freiburg

No absentees reported.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

J. CastropShoulder Injury
D. HashiokaNeck Injury
Y. KonoplyaKnee Injury
N. KuhnMuscle Injury
E. LeopoldKnee Injury
Z. UnoLacking Match Fitness

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Freiburg at 52% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	27%	@ 4.33	+15.9%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win	22%	@ 4.50	-2.1%
SC Freiburg Win	52%	@ 1.67	-14.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw at 2.15 (47% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw	47%	@ 2.15	+1.9%
SC Freiburg or Draw	77%	@ 1.18	-9.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.38	+2.0%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.53	-0.8%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.17	-1.0%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.57	-10.3%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.50	-12.1%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.00	-23.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.57	+1.9%
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.25	-21.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with 65% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.57 (+1.9% value).

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for SC Freiburg and 1.44 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.