FSV Mainz 05vsEintracht Frankfurt

⚽ Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

FSV Mainz 05 face Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 have 3 wins from their last 5, while Eintracht Frankfurt have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw @ 1.80
61%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.53 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.3% 6.6% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.1% 1.6%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3%
3 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
FSV Mainz 05 winDrawEintracht Frankfurt win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw at odds 1.80, the selection our model is most confident in at 61%. On the match result, the model rates a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

Best value
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw at odds 1.80, 61% model probability, +9.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FSV Mainz 05 39%Draw 28%Eintracht Frankfurt 33%
39%28%33%
39%
FSV Mainz 05 Win
61%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
+9.0%
Best value: Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt. Wins shown from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective: FSV Mainz 05 2 · 1 drawn · Eintracht Frankfurt 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-03-22 FSV Mainz 05 2 – 1 Eintracht Frankfurt W
2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
2025-05-04 FSV Mainz 05 1 – 1 Eintracht Frankfurt D
2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
2024-01-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 0 FSV Mainz 05 L

📈 Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 9-0 at Krieschow.

  • WHamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
  • DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  • WKrieschow 0-9 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal
  • WFSV Mainz 05 2-1 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs
  • DUdinese 3-3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 11-0 at SC St. Tönis. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to FC Augsburg.

  • LEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
  • DUnion Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • WSC St. Tönis 0-11 Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal
  • LBrentford 7-0 Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs
  • WFSV Frankfurt 1-5 Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FSV Mainz 05
  • D. KohrFoot Injury
  • E. MartelKnee Injury
  • P. NebelMuscle Injury
  • SilasBroken shinbone
  • S. WidmerKnee Injury
  • R. ZentnerThigh Injury
Eintracht Frankfurt
  • N. CollinsBack Injury
  • J. NgankamInjury
  • F. ChaibiIllness
  • A. KnauffMuscle Injury
  • M. PimpongIllness

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FSV Mainz 05 at 39% to win and Eintracht Frankfurt at 33%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Eintracht Frankfurt Win 33% @ 3.40 +13.5%
Draw 28% @ 4.00 +11.7%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 39% @ 1.95 -24.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw at 1.80 (61% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 61% @ 1.80 +9.0%
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 66% @ 1.30 -14.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Under 3.5 61% @ 1.67 +2.5%
Under 2.5 39% @ 2.62 +2.3%
Under 1.5 18% @ 5.50 -2.2%
Over 1.5 82% @ 1.14 -6.3%
Over 2.5 61% @ 1.50 -8.6%
Over 3.5 39% @ 2.20 -15.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS No 37% @ 2.62 -2.5%
BTTS Yes 63% @ 1.44 -9.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our main pick is Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw at odds 1.80, with 61% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our model makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt.

What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.53 for Eintracht Frankfurt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.