⚽ La Liga

Osasuna vs Espanyol Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Osasuna vs Espanyol in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Osasuna face Espanyol in the La Liga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Osasuna have 2 wins from their last 4, while Espanyol have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 4 meetings, Osasuna won 1, Espanyol won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Osasuna vs Espanyol with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.34

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.2%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	11.0%	12.3%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.1%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.5%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Osasuna winDrawEspanyol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates an Osasuna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Espanyol or Draw at odds 1.78 (+1.6% model value).

Best value

Espanyol or Draw at odds 1.78, 57% model probability, +1.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Osasuna 40%Draw 33%Espanyol 28%

40%33%28%

40%

Osasuna Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+1.6%

Best value: Espanyol or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Osasuna and Espanyol. Wins shown from Osasuna’s perspective: Osasuna 1 · 1 drawn · Espanyol 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-17	Osasuna	1 – 2	Espanyol	L
2025-08-31	Espanyol	1 – 0	Osasuna	L
2025-05-18	Osasuna	2 – 0	Espanyol	W
2024-12-14	Espanyol	0 – 0	Osasuna	D

📈 Recent form

Osasuna

Osasuna come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Alaves.

LAlaves 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
WCelta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
LOsasuna 0-2 Al AinFriendlies Clubs

Espanyol

Espanyol come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Levante. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Real Sociedad.

DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
LEspanyol 1-2 Real MadridLa Liga
WEspanyol 3-0 LevanteLa Liga
LCoventry 3-1 EspanyolFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Osasuna

M. GomezHamstring Injury
J. HerrandoInjury
A. OrozMuscle Injury
V. RosierHamstring Injury

Espanyol

K. GarciaHamstring Injury
J. PuadoKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Osasuna at 40% to win and Espanyol at 28%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	33%	@ 3.40	+11.2%
Espanyol Win	28%	@ 4.00	+10.7%
Osasuna Win	40%	@ 1.93	-23.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Espanyol or Draw at 1.78 (57% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Espanyol or Draw	57%	@ 1.78	+1.6%
Osasuna or Draw	69%	@ 1.20	-17.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	27%	@ 3.75	-0.2%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.34	-1.6%
Over 2.5	48%	@ 2.00	-3.2%
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.25	-8.3%
Under 2.5	52%	@ 1.68	-13.3%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 3.15	-16.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.85	-4.0%
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.82	-12.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Espanyol or Draw at 1.78 (+1.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Osasuna vs Espanyol.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Osasuna and 1.12 for Espanyol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Osasuna and Espanyol play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.