⚽ Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Strasbourg vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Strasbourg face Monaco in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Strasbourg have 4 wins from their last 5, while Monaco have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, Monaco won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Strasbourg vs Monaco with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.50

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.68 – 1.76 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	5.6%	5.0%	2.9%	1.3%
1	5.4%	9.5%	8.3%	4.9%	2.2%
2	4.5%	8.0%	7.0%	4.1%	1.8%
3	2.5%	4.5%	3.9%	2.3%	1.0%
4	1.1%	1.9%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Strasbourg winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Monaco is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Strasbourg or Draw at odds 1.67 (+6.5% model value).

Best value

Strasbourg or Draw at odds 1.67, 64% model probability, +6.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Strasbourg 40%Draw 20%Monaco 39%

40%20%39%

40%

Strasbourg Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+6.5%

Best value: Strasbourg or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Strasbourg and Monaco. Wins shown from Strasbourg’s perspective: Strasbourg 1 · 1 drawn · Monaco 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-17	Strasbourg	5 – 4	Monaco	W
2025-08-31	Monaco	3 – 2	Strasbourg	L
2025-04-19	Monaco	0 – 0	Strasbourg	D
2024-11-09	Strasbourg	1 – 3	Monaco	L
2024-03-10	Strasbourg	0 – 1	Monaco	L

📈 Recent form

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Marseille.

WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
DNewcastle 1-1 StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs
LSC Freiburg 2-0 StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WParis Saint Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1
WMonaco 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa Conference
WLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
WGornik Zabrze 2-3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Strasbourg

M. GodoMuscle Injury
J. PanichelliKnee Injury
M. OyedeleInjury

Monaco

F. BalogunInjury
M. SalisuKnee Injury
A. FatiCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Strasbourg at 40% to win and Monaco at 39%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Strasbourg Win	40%	@ 3.10	+25.1%
Monaco Win	39%	@ 2.15	-15.5%
Draw	20%	@ 3.75	-23.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.67 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Strasbourg or Draw	64%	@ 1.67	+6.5%
Monaco or Draw	63%	@ 1.36	-14.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	45%	@ 2.38	+7.2%
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.57	+4.9%
Over 1.5	86%	@ 1.17	+0.3%
Under 3.5	55%	@ 1.57	-13.7%
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.38	-21.0%
Under 1.5	14%	@ 5.00	-28.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	@ 1.50	+1.2%
BTTS No	32%	@ 2.50	-18.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Monaco?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.67 (+6.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Monaco?

Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for Strasbourg vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Strasbourg and 1.76 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Strasbourg and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.