⚽ Eredivisie

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cambuur face NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Cambuur have 0 wins from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.1-4.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.37

89%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 4.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.5%	2.1%	4.4%	6.0%	6.2%
1	0.6%	2.4%	5.0%	6.9%	7.1%
2	0.3%	1.4%	2.9%	4.0%	4.1%
3	0.1%	0.5%	1.1%	1.5%	1.6%
4	0.0%	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-4

Cambuur winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (89%), both teams to score points yes (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 1.98 (+50.7% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 1.98, 76% model probability, +50.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cambuur 19%Draw 21%NEC Nijmegen 60%

19%21%60%

60%

NEC Nijmegen Win

89%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

+50.7%

Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.

DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 3-1 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 0-4 ExcelsiorEredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Feyenoord.

LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cambuur

W. AsselmanNot in squad
D. VisserKnee Injury
D. BouahInjury

NEC Nijmegen

D. FonvilleInjury
A. KaplanKnee Injury
B. LinssenInjury
E. MorNot in squad
D. NejasmicNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cambuur at 19% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cambuur Win	19%	@ 5.60	+5.2%
Draw	21%	@ 4.70	-0.7%
NEC Nijmegen Win	60%	@ 1.47	-11.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 2.60 (41% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cambuur or Draw	41%	@ 2.60	+5.5%
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	82%	@ 1.13	-7.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-4.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 89% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	76%	@ 1.98	+50.7%
Over 2.5	89%	@ 1.37	+21.4%
Over 1.5	96%	@ 1.09	+4.4%
Under 3.5	24%	@ 1.81	-56.7%
Under 2.5	11%	@ 3.00	-65.9%
Under 1.5	4%	@ 6.75	-71.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	67%	@ 1.47	-1.3%
BTTS No	33%	@ 2.50	-17.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 1.98 (+50.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.1-4.1 scoreline for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-4, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Cambuur and 4.12 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.